{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ad7ee6f5-22bb-418c-a46c-2cf06d6d95fd", "symbol": "002850", "name": "Shenzhen Kedali Industry Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 75.424, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 10.116, "architecture_energy": 13.804, "architecture_maturity": 19.522, "architecture_confidence": 77.464, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.67, "rotation_up": 21.25, "upward_expansion": 42.24, "deceleration": 82.82, "rotation_down": 38.19, "downward_expansion": 33.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 182.853997, 188.340362, 189.468524, 185.633362 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 183.899994, "trend_reference": 179.637132, "distance_from_trend": 0.02373, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 119.260956, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.541997, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.245957, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.20648, "excess_performance": 0.199081, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02373, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065885, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.541997, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.243639, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.06246, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060508, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.20648, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.681391, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20379571, "relative_activity": 0.812306, "balance": 0.681391, "dry_up": 1.108135, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.139694, "annualized_volatility": 0.664921, "from_high_reference": -0.226564, "from_low_reference": 0.713246 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 179.637132, "fair_value_reference": 119.260956, "structural_low": 141.574443, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.078735, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.015695, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.240234, "worst_return": -0.254407, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.112119, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.031536, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.541015, "worst_return": -0.286598, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.32005, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.189551, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.472642, "worst_return": -0.331973, "sufficient": false }, { 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182.309998, "volume": 29121325, "typical_volume": 25225344.8, "trend": 178.698524, "fair_value": 118.816751, "relative_strength": 11.538697, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.973679, "energy": 9.31623, "activity_lines": [ 186.002665, 189.099454, 189.752075, 185.297783 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 183.899994, "volume": 20379571, "typical_volume": 25088534.5, "trend": 179.637132, "fair_value": 119.260956, "relative_strength": 6.245957, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.115775, "energy": 13.803645, "activity_lines": [ 182.853997, 188.340362, 189.468524, 185.633362 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }