{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ad82748e-b8c5-4158-9c78-df7aa4c4053d", "symbol": "688510", "name": "Wuxi Hyatech Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.809, "architecture_energy": 76.356, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.904, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.7, "rotation_up": 14.97, "upward_expansion": 18.11, "deceleration": 38.97, "rotation_down": 68.08, "downward_expansion": 91.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.354, 22.609273, 25.540929, 28.069499 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.1, "trend_reference": 31.038017, "distance_from_trend": -0.28797, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.854459, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.059725, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.193968, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.390422, "excess_performance": -0.347218, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.28797, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005792, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.059725, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.766946, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.21194, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.462218, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.390422, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.53227, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35076370, "relative_activity": 1.221921, "balance": 0.53227, "dry_up": 1.097596, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.154116, "annualized_volatility": 0.654951, "from_high_reference": -0.559273, "from_low_reference": 0.13508 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.038017, "fair_value_reference": 20.854459, "structural_low": 19.469999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.065868, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": 0.058184, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.265601, "worst_return": -0.111022, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.180217, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.027627, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.307221, "worst_return": -0.120958, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.312005, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.158658, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.388128, "worst_return": 0.149102, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"orange", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.020075, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.047003, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.49654, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.011687, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.074952, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.156492, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }