{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ad8c2057-3cba-4e53-94eb-46a2bff4b0ce", "symbol": "ACOU", "name": "AcouSort AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 65.913, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 0.928, "architecture_energy": 14.919, "architecture_maturity": 33.288, "architecture_confidence": 80.595, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.31, "rotation_up": 15.68, "upward_expansion": 41.45, "deceleration": 78.66, "rotation_down": 40.28, "downward_expansion": 35.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.536, 3.687273, 3.888476, 3.710731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.45, "trend_reference": 3.420667, "distance_from_trend": 0.008575, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.239053, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.626585, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.411565, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.540179, "excess_performance": 0.478684, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008575, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125466, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.626585, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00465, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.044116, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.182205, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.540179, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.671275, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 62284, "relative_activity": 0.459715, "balance": 0.671275, "dry_up": 0.593843, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.188629, "annualized_volatility": 0.731474, "from_high_reference": -0.31, "from_low_reference": 0.699507 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.420667, "fair_value_reference": 9.239053, "structural_low": 2.06, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.055612, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.080346, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.054795, "worst_return": -0.307308, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.205945, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.289497, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.118033, "worst_return": -0.293857, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.64757, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.794766, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.529238, "worst_return": -0.765902, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"color": "orange", "start": "2023-12-01", "end": "2023-12-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.032362, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-12-29", "end": "2024-01-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.016077, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-01-19", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.019293, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.379928, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-08-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.212658, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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"volume": 70611, "typical_volume": 199396.6, "trend": 3.329667, "fair_value": 9.523151, "relative_strength": 6.459559, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.79831, "energy": 21.223101, "activity_lines": [ 3.899333, 4.135818, 3.965286, 3.671828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.38, "volume": 75667, "typical_volume": 193919.1, "trend": 3.355333, "fair_value": 9.451309, "relative_strength": -2.816296, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.631142, "energy": 16.853197, "activity_lines": [ 3.696667, 3.976364, 3.940333, 3.675075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.72, "volume": 81851, "typical_volume": 193255.15, "trend": 3.391333, "fair_value": 9.380051, "relative_strength": 5.614412, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.976378, "energy": 16.796607, "activity_lines": [ 3.663333, 3.887091, 3.943381, 3.698602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.53, "volume": 102023, "typical_volume": 169038.75, "trend": 3.400667, "fair_value": 9.310446, "relative_strength": -0.688249, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.895677, "energy": 15.566278, "activity_lines": [ 3.597333, 3.782727, 3.92119, 3.707548 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.45, "volume": 62284, "typical_volume": 135483.95, "trend": 3.420667, "fair_value": 9.239053, "relative_strength": -4.411565, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.927524, "energy": 14.91931, "activity_lines": [ 3.536, 3.687273, 3.888476, 3.710731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }