{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ad9a247a-f10d-4233-aaab-19110b4f783b",
    "symbol": "YXI",
    "name": "PROSHARES TRUST SHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW(P/S)",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 93.774,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 6.893,
    "architecture_energy": 23.887,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.794,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.61,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 51.26,
        "rotation_up": 16.42,
        "upward_expansion": 50.39,
        "deceleration": 91.1,
        "rotation_down": 45.67,
        "downward_expansion": 27.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        21.831773,
        22.503578,
        22.359323,
        22.101176
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 21.395,
    "trend_reference": 21.60938,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.009921,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.468179,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.191671,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -8.327619,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.07831,
    "excess_performance": -0.047315,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009921,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047177,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.191671,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033502,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.083276,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006926,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07831,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.212564,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3120,
      "relative_activity": 0.28909,
      "balance": 1.212564,
      "dry_up": 0.500625,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048143,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.202033,
      "from_high_reference": -0.129223,
      "from_low_reference": 0.147969
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.60938,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.468179,
      "structural_low": 19.661951,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.013727,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028278,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.101835,
        "worst_return": -0.067372,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.03214,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.05073,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.060265,
        "worst_return": -0.098359,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.002315,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.058286,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.070319,
        "worst_return": -0.088368,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.098182,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048019,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.188558,
        "worst_return": -0.354497,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-04-28",
        "end": "2023-05-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.052711,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-06-02",
        "end": "2023-07-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0017,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-07-14",
        "end": "2023-10-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.078742,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-10-13",
        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.066895,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.072184,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015511,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.152614,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.06548,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.222734,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.052394,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.032127,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.050083,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.052703,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 17269.2,
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        "relative_strength": 0.967287,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 22.3123,
        "volume": 8036,
        "typical_volume": 11643.85,
        "trend": 21.497351,
        "fair_value": 26.584041,
        "relative_strength": -0.659379,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 45.658699,
        "energy": 33.425275,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.2001,
        "volume": 4498,
        "typical_volume": 11255.65,
        "trend": 21.555263,
        "fair_value": 26.529427,
        "relative_strength": -6.278621,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.65153,
        "energy": 18.32161,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.2857,
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          22.434065,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.395,
        "volume": 3120,
        "typical_volume": 10792.5,
        "trend": 21.60938,
        "fair_value": 26.468179,
        "relative_strength": -8.327619,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 6.892694,
        "energy": 23.886867,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}