{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ad9a4b16-09d5-414b-9c00-a6cb091c44ae", "symbol": "600323", "name": "Grandblue Environment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 5.918, "architecture_energy": 18.002, "architecture_maturity": 29.74, "architecture_confidence": 70.723, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.86, "rotation_up": 51.91, "upward_expansion": 36.77, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 20.12, "downward_expansion": 18.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.788646, 29.090157, 29.382012, 29.50554 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 29.42, "trend_reference": 29.485379, "distance_from_trend": -0.002217, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.593406, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30215, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.591184, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.004062, "excess_performance": 0.039142, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.002217, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004164, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.30215, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150653, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.025912, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016637, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.004062, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.132217, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34043720, "relative_activity": 1.325163, "balance": 1.132217, "dry_up": 1.391167, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061552, "annualized_volatility": 0.258526, "from_high_reference": -0.108215, "from_low_reference": 0.162973 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.485379, "fair_value_reference": 22.593406, "structural_low": 26.380928, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.00319, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.015643, "regime_survival": 0.083333, "best_return": 0.110645, "worst_return": -0.084646, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.027646, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.025787, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.308764, "worst_return": -0.197926, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.059128, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.020191, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.313803, "worst_return": 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57.794877, "activity_lines": [ 27.960392, 28.464051, 29.247651, 29.361549 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.07, "volume": 38694432, "typical_volume": 25379898.35, "trend": 29.396046, "fair_value": 22.428329, "relative_strength": 8.374779, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.633198, "energy": 9.613678, "activity_lines": [ 28.720382, 28.656389, 29.288216, 29.407095 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.959999, "volume": 34373273, "typical_volume": 25580466.7, "trend": 29.458046, "fair_value": 22.513609, "relative_strength": 10.941732, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.520612, "energy": 16.808116, "activity_lines": [ 29.649214, 29.017637, 29.408876, 29.507995 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.42, "volume": 34043720, "typical_volume": 25690212.1, "trend": 29.485379, "fair_value": 22.593406, "relative_strength": 2.591184, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 5.918403, "energy": 18.00195, "activity_lines": [ 29.788646, 29.090157, 29.382012, 29.50554 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }