{ "ticker": { "uuid": "adaa35f2-1d36-44c3-8342-f1231a1988f8", "symbol": "STM", "name": "Stabilus SE", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 86.8, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.043, "architecture_energy": 36.109, "architecture_maturity": 21.777, "architecture_confidence": 89.316, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.77, "rotation_up": 20.03, "upward_expansion": 6.73, "deceleration": 53.77, "rotation_down": 54.4, "downward_expansion": 77.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.481333, 15.636364, 16.387619, 16.712723 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 17.18, "trend_reference": 17.312928, "distance_from_trend": -0.007678, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.475351, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.486787, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.255, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.122574, "excess_performance": -0.187214, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.007678, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071034, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.486787, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008251, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.17255, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02406, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.122574, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.566513, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 586252, "relative_activity": 1.524811, "balance": 1.566513, "dry_up": 1.41417, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088923, "annualized_volatility": 0.547427, "from_high_reference": -0.315737, "from_low_reference": 0.30349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.312928, "fair_value_reference": 33.475351, "structural_low": 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.362779, "energy": 66.83982, "activity_lines": [ 15.962667, 16.450909, 16.880191, 17.212272 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.54, "volume": 804532, "typical_volume": 384496.9, "trend": 17.610466, "fair_value": 33.905287, "relative_strength": -32.910879, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.437977, "energy": 77.964467, "activity_lines": [ 15.126667, 15.830909, 16.558572, 16.936515 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.38, "volume": 601433, "typical_volume": 392421.6, "trend": 17.418306, "fair_value": 33.676776, "relative_strength": -29.431781, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.735461, "energy": 70.616179, "activity_lines": [ 14.797334, 15.448364, 16.335334, 16.728097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.18, "volume": 586252, "typical_volume": 384475.15, "trend": 17.312928, "fair_value": 33.475351, "relative_strength": -17.255, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.043443, "energy": 36.109174, "activity_lines": [ 15.481333, 15.636364, 16.387619, 16.712723 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }