{ "ticker": { "uuid": "adaa8c14-1431-4cbc-8549-2aec0b59c800", "symbol": "BRK", "name": "Berkshire Hathaway Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 49.251, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.256, "architecture_energy": 65.484, "architecture_maturity": 14.658, "architecture_confidence": 68.506, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.37, "rotation_up": 67.03, "upward_expansion": 83.55, "deceleration": 50.26, "rotation_down": 11.73, "downward_expansion": 12.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.795335, 36.429456, 35.873334, 35.716387 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 37.740002, "trend_reference": 35.663667, "distance_from_trend": 0.05822, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.886859, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.113706, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.290912, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.015062, "excess_performance": -0.105359, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05822, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007652, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.113706, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065148, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.072909, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080088, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.015062, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.039684, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 540500, "relative_activity": 1.013872, "balance": 2.039684, "dry_up": 1.104285, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026212, "annualized_volatility": 0.113755, "from_high_reference": -0.007886, "from_low_reference": 0.113603 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.663667, "fair_value_reference": 33.886859, "structural_low": 33.889999, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.051839, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.021365, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.051839, "worst_return": 0.051839, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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10.465266, "energy": 20.371231, "activity_lines": [ 35.68, 35.398182, 35.222905, 35.406946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 36.5, "volume": 30600, "typical_volume": 488025.0, "trend": 35.698, "fair_value": 33.578205, "relative_strength": -9.499941, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.84168, "energy": 46.450036, "activity_lines": [ 36.026, 35.646182, 35.330762, 35.457355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 35.880001, "volume": 677700, "typical_volume": 508020.0, "trend": 35.668333, "fair_value": 33.640256, "relative_strength": -10.742764, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.486251, "energy": 41.471303, "activity_lines": [ 36.036001, 35.740546, 35.37919, 35.469097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 35.650002, "volume": 730600, "typical_volume": 523720.0, "trend": 35.641333, "fair_value": 33.698398, "relative_strength": -10.791176, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.406441, "energy": 35.355155, "activity_lines": [ 35.944668, 35.768364, 35.408476, 35.467914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.91, "volume": 411700, "typical_volume": 502080.0, "trend": 35.61, "fair_value": 33.75609, "relative_strength": -9.958526, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.179883, "energy": 17.969936, "activity_lines": [ 35.932667, 35.825819, 35.468476, 35.485247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.080002, "volume": 672000, "typical_volume": 523335.0, "trend": 35.627333, "fair_value": 33.821218, "relative_strength": -6.257036, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.9568, "energy": 30.534757, "activity_lines": [ 36.283335, 36.082728, 35.642524, 35.580086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.740002, "volume": 540500, "typical_volume": 533105.0, "trend": 35.663667, "fair_value": 33.886859, "relative_strength": -7.290912, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.255993, "energy": 65.483738, "activity_lines": [ 36.795335, 36.429456, 35.873334, 35.716387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }