{ "ticker": { "uuid": "adbbada7-f311-4010-a184-4377cc58095a", "symbol": "RS", "name": "Real Estate Split Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.059, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.093, "architecture_energy": 61.769, "architecture_maturity": 38.95, "architecture_confidence": 67.517, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 68.36, "upward_expansion": 83.71, "deceleration": 61.72, "rotation_down": 15.28, "downward_expansion": 10.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.430284, 10.338651, 10.095861, 9.916782 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.15, "trend_reference": 9.730643, "distance_from_trend": 0.043097, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.885404, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.142323, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.788536, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.067672, "excess_performance": -0.05275, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043097, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063592, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.142323, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043678, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027885, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005106, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.067672, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.024001, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 150300, "relative_activity": 1.39244, "balance": 1.024001, "dry_up": 1.347045, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026593, "annualized_volatility": 0.159586, "from_high_reference": -0.055814, "from_low_reference": 0.294794 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.730643, "fair_value_reference": 8.885404, "structural_low": 8.650354, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.002068, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026158, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.060833, "worst_return": -0.096743, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.01994, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.026049, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.085817, "worst_return": -0.106698, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.020519, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.087415, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.12446, "worst_return": -0.195244, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 8.865303, "relative_strength": 4.940086, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.147185, "energy": 96.945984, "activity_lines": [ 10.352701, 10.141562, 9.897587, 9.760121 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.658291, "volume": 118500, "typical_volume": 104625.0, "trend": 9.64151, "fair_value": 8.873009, "relative_strength": 4.662873, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.778913, "energy": 94.34219, "activity_lines": [ 10.491765, 10.263766, 9.989694, 9.830692 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.53, "volume": 112200, "typical_volume": 105380.0, "trend": 9.704102, "fair_value": 8.880574, "relative_strength": 3.946795, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.071438, "energy": 87.543446, "activity_lines": [ 10.540455, 10.342877, 10.063725, 9.888014 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.15, "volume": 150300, "typical_volume": 107940.0, "trend": 9.730643, "fair_value": 8.885404, "relative_strength": -2.788536, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.092911, "energy": 61.768885, "activity_lines": [ 10.430284, 10.338651, 10.095861, 9.916782 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }