{ "ticker": { "uuid": "adc930dd-24a6-4a76-afc3-0c102c8990a2", "symbol": "000998", "name": "Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.652, "architecture_energy": 28.964, "architecture_maturity": 86.879, "architecture_confidence": 73.15, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.17, "rotation_up": 27.75, "upward_expansion": 22.18, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 26.88, "downward_expansion": 58.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.184, 8.064667, 8.310016, 8.67657 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.21, "trend_reference": 9.106905, "distance_from_trend": -0.098486, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.0127, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.254497, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.763964, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.218839, "excess_performance": -0.226239, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.098486, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053928, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.254497, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039012, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.15764, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096359, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.218839, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.28898, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 103678990, "relative_activity": 1.298889, "balance": 1.28898, "dry_up": 1.17109, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056597, "annualized_volatility": 0.239636, "from_high_reference": -0.264337, "from_low_reference": 0.117007 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.106905, "fair_value_reference": 11.0127, "structural_low": 7.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": 0.002063, "positive_rate": 0.542857, "directional_follow_through": 0.457143, "median_excess_return": -0.015982, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.43697, "worst_return": -0.145858, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.033058, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.022777, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.270909, "worst_return": -0.176955, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.018619, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.084432, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.206667, "worst_return": -0.259259, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-64.183388, "energy": 76.066211, "activity_lines": [ 7.836, 7.99785, 8.490357, 8.859864 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.1, "volume": 105398215, "typical_volume": 97551958.75, "trend": 9.181239, "fair_value": 11.112423, "relative_strength": -15.134028, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.664714, "energy": 56.127252, "activity_lines": [ 7.93, 7.985433, 8.406275, 8.78731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.4, "volume": 70897357, "typical_volume": 86700747.4, "trend": 9.145239, "fair_value": 11.063107, "relative_strength": -10.017439, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.611595, "energy": 40.118681, "activity_lines": [ 8.118667, 8.042356, 8.361955, 8.736908 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.21, "volume": 103678990, "typical_volume": 79821258.15, "trend": 9.106905, "fair_value": 11.0127, "relative_strength": -15.763964, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.652456, "energy": 28.963933, "activity_lines": [ 8.184, 8.064667, 8.310016, 8.67657 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }