{ "ticker": { "uuid": "add46e4c-7021-4768-9975-c4f6cfa4fc01", "symbol": "001319", "name": "Winstech Precision Holding Co., LTD.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.354, "architecture_energy": 74.534, "architecture_maturity": 50.765, "architecture_confidence": 87.428, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.36, "rotation_up": 10.9, "upward_expansion": 16.99, "deceleration": 38.61, "rotation_down": 72.11, "downward_expansion": 90.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.741333, 19.8062, 21.36116, 22.601428 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 19.299999, "trend_reference": 24.416869, "distance_from_trend": -0.209563, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.294292, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.171471, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.931108, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.36135, "excess_performance": -0.36875, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.209563, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071265, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.171471, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.237283, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.269311, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015142, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.36135, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.557471, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7722200, "relative_activity": 0.738017, "balance": 0.557471, "dry_up": 0.930695, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117708, "annualized_volatility": 0.522237, "from_high_reference": -0.391359, "from_low_reference": 0.162651 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.416869, "fair_value_reference": 23.294292, "structural_low": 16.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.05417, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.02863, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.10507, "worst_return": -0.128734, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.010757, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.036434, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.525287, "worst_return": -0.227143, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.449685, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.348936, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.936782, "worst_return": -0.037411, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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23.336439, "relative_strength": -27.83269, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.359065, "energy": 63.990896, "activity_lines": [ 21.641227, 22.371112, 23.215228, 24.285653 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.530001, "volume": 8788800, "typical_volume": 10995073.75, "trend": 25.219535, "fair_value": 23.332357, "relative_strength": -25.463729, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.022538, "energy": 73.086021, "activity_lines": [ 20.806, 21.74793, 22.777104, 23.906478 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.65, "volume": 12281203, "typical_volume": 10714980.75, "trend": 24.929535, "fair_value": 23.307101, "relative_strength": -35.943277, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.151119, "energy": 81.941342, "activity_lines": [ 19.313333, 20.694012, 22.11298, 23.353605 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.66, "volume": 10160900, "typical_volume": 10547843.65, "trend": 24.689202, "fair_value": 23.295592, "relative_strength": -26.375714, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.410969, "energy": 79.280244, "activity_lines": [ 18.888667, 20.137385, 21.688761, 22.949119 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.299999, "volume": 7722200, "typical_volume": 10463449.8, "trend": 24.416869, "fair_value": 23.294292, "relative_strength": -26.931108, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.353643, "energy": 74.533929, "activity_lines": [ 18.741333, 19.8062, 21.36116, 22.601428 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }