{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "addd020f-33e5-4f35-99f0-37f0274c98c5",
    "symbol": "3182",
    "name": "W.I.S.E. Nasdaq China New Economy Companies ESG Index Tracker",
    "exchange": "HKG",
    "country": "HK",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^HSI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 58.224,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 47.688,
    "architecture_energy": 49.024,
    "architecture_maturity": 86.068,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.048,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.09,
        "rotation_up": 72.47,
        "upward_expansion": 43.61,
        "deceleration": 40.89,
        "rotation_down": 14.02,
        "downward_expansion": 18.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.627333,
        12.232727,
        12.135762,
        12.221806
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 13.16,
    "trend_reference": 12.465333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.055728,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 10.984712,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.198029,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.763648,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.009036,
    "excess_performance": 0.024545,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055728,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03232,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.198029,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04376,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017636,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085522,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009036,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.051282,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.051282,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.030804,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.19258,
      "from_high_reference": -0.126742,
      "from_low_reference": 0.195277
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.465333,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.984712,
      "structural_low": 11.01,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.001505,
        "positive_rate": 0.483871,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.516129,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000263,
        "regime_survival": 0.806452,
        "best_return": 0.209033,
        "worst_return": -0.182609,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.000343,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003962,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.203835,
        "worst_return": -0.290236,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.05246,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017824,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.473814,
        "worst_return": -0.192935,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.004541,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.086915,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.088067,
        "worst_return": -0.332609,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064079,
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "relative_strength": -6.788509,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.742732,
        "energy": 25.603412,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.476667,
          12.403091,
          12.630619,
          12.810731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 12.18,
        "volume": 3100,
        "typical_volume": 1940.0,
        "trend": 13.002667,
        "fair_value": 10.860545,
        "relative_strength": -7.702764,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.111381,
        "energy": 40.639572,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.37,
          12.372182,
          12.565429,
          12.754839
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 11.9,
        "volume": 1000,
        "typical_volume": 1990.0,
        "trend": 12.938333,
        "fair_value": 10.874583,
        "relative_strength": -8.453647,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.171445,
        "energy": 49.317826,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.190667,
          12.293273,
          12.477476,
          12.683699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 12.07,
        "volume": 1400,
        "typical_volume": 2060.0,
        "trend": 12.881667,
        "fair_value": 10.888077,
        "relative_strength": -5.499673,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.185073,
        "energy": 55.253069,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.126667,
          12.251091,
          12.412095,
          12.627677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 12.02,
        "volume": 18000,
        "typical_volume": 2735.0,
        "trend": 12.832667,
        "fair_value": 10.899744,
        "relative_strength": -4.985392,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.777223,
        "energy": 71.963814,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.064,
          12.202182,
          12.348429,
          12.572086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 11.85,
        "volume": 5200,
        "typical_volume": 2995.0,
        "trend": 12.770333,
        "fair_value": 10.906154,
        "relative_strength": -5.301971,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.485314,
        "energy": 77.098054,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.968,
          12.123091,
          12.276952,
          12.508688
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 11.46,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2995.0,
        "trend": 12.724333,
        "fair_value": 10.915385,
        "relative_strength": -5.324088,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -86.111585,
        "energy": 85.305429,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.786667,
          11.979091,
          12.17719,
          12.424151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 11.01,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2745.0,
        "trend": 12.646333,
        "fair_value": 10.922179,
        "relative_strength": -3.968806,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -93.478944,
        "energy": 95.51372,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.503333,
          11.772,
          12.044667,
          12.313548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 11.7,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2410.0,
        "trend": 12.591,
        "fair_value": 10.933622,
        "relative_strength": -0.910235,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.615109,
        "energy": 80.334143,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.509333,
          11.722545,
          11.988667,
          12.252495
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 12.02,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2410.0,
        "trend": 12.550667,
        "fair_value": 10.94234,
        "relative_strength": -1.653158,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.305961,
        "energy": 55.785536,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.646667,
          11.742909,
          11.971714,
          12.215656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.06,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1645.0,
        "trend": 12.518667,
        "fair_value": 10.952724,
        "relative_strength": -2.782655,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.68315,
        "energy": 38.841571,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.797333,
          11.776909,
          11.964762,
          12.184
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.17,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1575.0,
        "trend": 12.491,
        "fair_value": 10.959327,
        "relative_strength": -3.361249,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.070942,
        "energy": 25.727706,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.970667,
          11.839273,
          11.972524,
          12.161505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.74,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1575.0,
        "trend": 12.474333,
        "fair_value": 10.969327,
        "relative_strength": -2.333972,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 6.648631,
        "energy": 25.713985,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.286667,
          12.005455,
          12.035381,
          12.17757
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.16,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1575.0,
        "trend": 12.465333,
        "fair_value": 10.984712,
        "relative_strength": 1.763648,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 47.688382,
        "energy": 49.023879,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.627333,
          12.232727,
          12.135762,
          12.221806
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}