{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ade156b6-2885-4797-923c-a07f0949613e", "symbol": "RXO", "name": "RXO Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 23.472, "architecture_energy": 18.658, "architecture_maturity": 64.276, "architecture_confidence": 93.23, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.63, "rotation_up": 20.65, "upward_expansion": 55.12, "deceleration": 91.07, "rotation_down": 36.28, "downward_expansion": 23.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.414667, 24.874182, 24.288857, 22.337892 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 21.7, "trend_reference": 19.891, "distance_from_trend": 0.090946, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.345577, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.066571, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.640007, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.284024, "excess_performance": 0.158399, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.090946, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.266835, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.066571, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019944, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.0964, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.146261, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.284024, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.414431, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13440886, "relative_activity": 1.271658, "balance": 1.414431, "dry_up": 1.074523, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.168176, "annualized_volatility": 0.86501, "from_high_reference": -0.274247, "from_low_reference": 1.081535 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.891, "fair_value_reference": 20.345577, "structural_low": 11.18, "invalidation": "A sustained 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26.767333, 25.244182, 21.882381, 19.922925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 26.61, "volume": 5369772, "typical_volume": 10589444.55, "trend": 18.096667, "fair_value": 20.21609, "relative_strength": 43.34506, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.063148, "energy": 58.876304, "activity_lines": [ 26.750667, 25.771818, 22.583429, 20.498366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 26.25, "volume": 5737795, "typical_volume": 10344222.15, "trend": 18.457333, "fair_value": 20.253782, "relative_strength": 38.770696, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.511709, "energy": 51.781371, "activity_lines": [ 26.545333, 26.102545, 23.18781, 21.024387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.29, "volume": 10256955, "typical_volume": 10389939.75, "trend": 18.981667, "fair_value": 20.306282, "relative_strength": 55.674933, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.834536, "energy": 59.066322, "activity_lines": [ 27.394, 26.864909, 24.031762, 21.723269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.63, "volume": 7254383, "typical_volume": 10244558.5, "trend": 19.412333, "fair_value": 20.330385, "relative_strength": 36.296959, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.314851, "energy": 45.807324, "activity_lines": [ 26.96, 26.824727, 24.463667, 22.152194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.25, "volume": 14476788, "typical_volume": 10544559.1, "trend": 19.659333, "fair_value": 20.330769, "relative_strength": 6.301168, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.822965, "energy": 19.864023, "activity_lines": [ 24.716667, 25.680182, 24.326571, 22.206237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.7, "volume": 13440886, "typical_volume": 10569573.7, "trend": 19.891, "fair_value": 20.345577, "relative_strength": 9.640007, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.47249, "energy": 18.658018, "activity_lines": [ 23.414667, 24.874182, 24.288857, 22.337892 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }