{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ade1b1e3-8489-4f56-b081-8d4c715fb246", "symbol": "1593", "name": "Chi Hua Fitness Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 78.143, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.255, "architecture_energy": 47.712, "architecture_maturity": 35.476, "architecture_confidence": 61.492, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.94, "rotation_up": 59.01, "upward_expansion": 75.36, "deceleration": 43.3, "rotation_down": 14.67, "downward_expansion": 21.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.943334, 30.606075, 30.294001, 30.351813 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 31.5, "trend_reference": 30.188475, "distance_from_trend": 0.043445, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.993515, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.099833, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.12531, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.150091, "excess_performance": -0.291281, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043445, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042635, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.099833, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117636, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.221253, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082759, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.150091, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.861631, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 186242, "relative_activity": 1.111377, "balance": 0.861631, "dry_up": 0.949227, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039597, "annualized_volatility": 0.260008, "from_high_reference": -0.065282, "from_low_reference": 0.25075 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.188475, "fair_value_reference": 34.993515, "structural_low": 27.013952, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.012624, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.024712, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.18, "worst_return": -0.065491, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.033697, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.046295, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.175, "worst_return": -0.121352, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.063455, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.057648, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.275, "worst_return": -0.14809, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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29.941987, 30.233868, 30.052594 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 30.200001, "volume": 195119, "typical_volume": 252664.25, "trend": 29.670219, "fair_value": 35.900784, "relative_strength": -28.492178, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.783769, "energy": 20.312444, "activity_lines": [ 30.228941, 30.029084, 30.207622, 30.095844 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.9, "volume": 303035, "typical_volume": 212480.9, "trend": 29.725774, "fair_value": 35.700009, "relative_strength": -23.999579, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.232585, "energy": 13.173252, "activity_lines": [ 30.140001, 30.046343, 30.138973, 30.110669 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.200001, "volume": 87119, "typical_volume": 187186.1, "trend": 29.821033, "fair_value": 35.51062, "relative_strength": -24.227681, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.378719, "energy": 11.531344, "activity_lines": [ 30.140001, 30.101487, 30.107486, 30.141264 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.85, "volume": 188069, "typical_volume": 165038.75, "trend": 29.907751, "fair_value": 35.331935, "relative_strength": -23.349615, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.41329, "energy": 6.149886, "activity_lines": [ 30.04, 30.075998, 30.052729, 30.143133 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.700001, "volume": 174847, "typical_volume": 164797.05, "trend": 30.0577, "fair_value": 35.161623, "relative_strength": -19.739476, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.119411, "energy": 31.686982, "activity_lines": [ 30.566667, 30.379648, 30.184332, 30.258762 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 31.5, "volume": 186242, "typical_volume": 167577.65, "trend": 30.188475, "fair_value": 34.993515, "relative_strength": -22.12531, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.254873, "energy": 47.712445, "activity_lines": [ 30.943334, 30.606075, 30.294001, 30.351813 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }