{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "adeb2a9f-3767-40fd-96ac-68c03f56d05c",
    "symbol": "603527",
    "name": "Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 87.964,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.153,
    "architecture_energy": 79.09,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.678,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.008,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.32,
        "rotation_up": 8.18,
        "upward_expansion": 18.19,
        "deceleration": 37.06,
        "rotation_down": 78.9,
        "downward_expansion": 93.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.388667,
        10.326052,
        11.389235,
        11.504349
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 10.01,
    "trend_reference": 11.551877,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.133474,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.929981,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.008058,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.99417,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.118062,
    "excess_performance": -0.074858,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.133474,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00233,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008058,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.333248,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.119942,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.21262,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118062,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.425172,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 34198469,
      "relative_activity": 0.52471,
      "balance": 1.425172,
      "dry_up": 0.605492,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.137703,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.616408,
      "from_high_reference": -0.347666,
      "from_low_reference": 0.245025
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.551877,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.929981,
      "structural_low": 8.04,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.05918,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.044408,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.093866,
        "worst_return": 0.024494,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.099569,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.041298,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.181399,
        "worst_return": 0.017738,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.082746,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025038,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.301486,
        "worst_return": -0.135994,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.12736,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020434,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.43984,
        "worst_return": -0.185119,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.279805,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.131549,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.047992,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.07277,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.045793,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.116344,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.013526,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.081835,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.19168,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.249657,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.119396,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.1261,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.151899,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "trend": 11.786544,
        "fair_value": 9.993423,
        "relative_strength": -13.030877,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 75595449.4,
        "trend": 11.721877,
        "fair_value": 9.97664,
        "relative_strength": -18.870267,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -42.554957,
        "energy": 44.829192,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.69,
        "volume": 44105856,
        "typical_volume": 76045583.65,
        "trend": 11.652211,
        "fair_value": 9.956556,
        "relative_strength": -21.743542,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -42.456211,
        "energy": 68.227174,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.687333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.15,
        "volume": 33329420,
        "typical_volume": 70756009.35,
        "trend": 11.587877,
        "fair_value": 9.939481,
        "relative_strength": -17.582018,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -42.088464,
        "energy": 73.506714,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.272667,
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          11.606148
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.01,
        "volume": 34198469,
        "typical_volume": 65175952.4,
        "trend": 11.551877,
        "fair_value": 9.929981,
        "relative_strength": -11.99417,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.153122,
        "energy": 79.090224,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}