{ "ticker": { "uuid": "adf0a908-5246-4953-8022-a718daff0925", "symbol": "002191", "name": "Shenzhen Jinjia Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 93.427, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.295, "architecture_energy": 36.054, "architecture_maturity": 20.367, "architecture_confidence": 87.226, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.11, "rotation_up": 12.97, "upward_expansion": 5.03, "deceleration": 44.15, "rotation_down": 54.38, "downward_expansion": 76.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.724, 3.762727, 3.77619, 3.79157 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.75, "trend_reference": 3.864333, "distance_from_trend": -0.029587, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.240333, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.115635, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.233437, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.0625, "excess_performance": -0.0699, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.029587, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042929, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.115635, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002387, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.112334, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121881, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.0625, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.225859, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 51874770, "relative_activity": 0.766825, "balance": 1.225859, "dry_up": 0.759052, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054154, "annualized_volatility": 0.247253, "from_high_reference": -0.239351, "from_low_reference": 0.083815 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.864333, "fair_value_reference": 4.240333, "structural_low": 3.46, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.003233, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.017918, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.412743, "worst_return": -0.214944, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.08, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.159142, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.387064, "worst_return": -0.220061, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.092857, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.216955, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.678645, "worst_return": -0.237462, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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4.275878, "relative_strength": -11.675259, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.152584, "energy": 25.320879, "activity_lines": [ 3.766, 3.801455, 3.786476, 3.824215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.69, "volume": 46471962, "typical_volume": 68364430.7, "trend": 3.9, "fair_value": 4.264941, "relative_strength": -10.347688, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.145329, "energy": 34.781166, "activity_lines": [ 3.722667, 3.777636, 3.778238, 3.80957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.75, "volume": 56634071, "typical_volume": 68476267.85, "trend": 3.879, "fair_value": 4.25411, "relative_strength": -7.064631, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.136056, "energy": 34.851472, "activity_lines": [ 3.721333, 3.77, 3.776762, 3.799892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.75, "volume": 51874770, "typical_volume": 67648812.75, "trend": 3.864333, "fair_value": 4.240333, "relative_strength": -11.233437, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.294504, "energy": 36.054202, "activity_lines": [ 3.724, 3.762727, 3.77619, 3.79157 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }