{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ae140440-223f-44f4-8426-3012729d7d62", "symbol": "MNDY", "name": "Monday.Com Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 42.42, "architecture_energy": 44.709, "architecture_maturity": 30.013, "architecture_confidence": 50.87, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.51, "rotation_up": 61.37, "upward_expansion": 53.95, "deceleration": 23.01, "rotation_down": 19.75, "downward_expansion": 21.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 85.759333, 82.311636, 79.214357, 77.948075 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 93.13, "trend_reference": 80.971167, "distance_from_trend": 0.150163, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 196.093622, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.525074, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -33.783082, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.049694, "excess_performance": -0.237148, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.150163, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.231691, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.525074, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.120723, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.337831, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.323409, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.049694, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.282602, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7047730, "relative_activity": 0.886213, "balance": 1.282602, "dry_up": 1.043281, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125522, "annualized_volatility": 0.655603, "from_high_reference": -0.578216, "from_low_reference": 0.619652 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 80.971167, "fair_value_reference": 196.093622, "structural_low": 57.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.009678, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.014692, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.13135, "worst_return": -0.196641, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.081807, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.009081, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.206752, "worst_return": -0.400471, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.310488, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.086022, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.458007, "worst_return": -0.448226, "sufficient": false 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.278266, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.208099, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.182039, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.316264, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.137827, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": 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"stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.582747, "energy": 7.276472, "activity_lines": [ 78.680667, 78.533818, 75.88919, 77.736667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 77.43, "volume": 10868654, "typical_volume": 7866166.75, "trend": 84.676833, "fair_value": 196.968942, "relative_strength": -45.244401, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.142163, "energy": 9.231988, "activity_lines": [ 78.792, 78.367727, 76.206071, 77.12214 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 87.15, "volume": 9529599, "typical_volume": 7909937.5, "trend": 82.801167, "fair_value": 196.495609, "relative_strength": -36.782095, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 14.211753, "energy": 14.446335, "activity_lines": [ 81.75, 79.869636, 77.454714, 77.281699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 93.13, "volume": 7047730, "typical_volume": 7952640.55, "trend": 80.971167, "fair_value": 196.093622, "relative_strength": -33.783082, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.420165, "energy": 44.708605, "activity_lines": [ 85.759333, 82.311636, 79.214357, 77.948075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }