{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ae15ccc1-d0c3-4561-bf08-5340fc3ae090",
    "symbol": "EPG",
    "name": "Eastern Polymer Group Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 64.755,
    "architecture_energy": 62.903,
    "architecture_maturity": 88.2,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.518,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.26,
        "rotation_up": 54.79,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 68.59,
        "rotation_down": 27.61,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.177412,
        6.086766,
        5.468448,
        4.938744
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 6.1,
    "trend_reference": 4.321073,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.411686,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.391413,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.389074,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 43.535049,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.848485,
    "excess_performance": 0.65616,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.411686,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.31275,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.389074,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.571803,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.43535,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.377674,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.848485,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.903758,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 65826000,
      "relative_activity": 1.086606,
      "balance": 1.903758,
      "dry_up": 1.755449,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.089246,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.689788,
      "from_high_reference": -0.070675,
      "from_low_reference": 1.26331
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.321073,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.391413,
      "structural_low": 3.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.023776,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028358,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
        "best_return": 0.505236,
        "worst_return": -0.13587,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.073728,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.014185,
        "worst_return": -0.169231,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.126686,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.14013,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.204933,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.26409,
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        "worst_return": -0.391016,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.05298,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "return": -0.294686,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 58062225.0,
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        "fair_value": 4.386348,
        "relative_strength": 44.717402,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 67.268434,
        "energy": 65.845505,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.27,
        "volume": 44497700,
        "typical_volume": 58955120.0,
        "trend": 4.21574,
        "fair_value": 4.389281,
        "relative_strength": 48.113862,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.756891,
        "energy": 66.757651,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.194891,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.1,
        "volume": 65826000,
        "typical_volume": 60579470.0,
        "trend": 4.321073,
        "fair_value": 4.391413,
        "relative_strength": 43.535049,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.754578,
        "energy": 62.902819,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}