{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ae1a3490-1b24-4924-973b-92db96480b02", "symbol": "ORA", "name": "Ormat Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 71.111, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.388, "architecture_energy": 69.979, "architecture_maturity": 8.049, "architecture_confidence": 79.76, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.09, "rotation_up": 8.52, "upward_expansion": 14.77, "deceleration": 38.33, "rotation_down": 76.39, "downward_expansion": 90.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 103.209333, 108.590545, 116.046522, 116.351863 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 108.09, "trend_reference": 116.932019, "distance_from_trend": -0.075617, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 84.9955, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.271714, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.435322, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.12054, "excess_performance": -0.246164, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.075617, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009848, "read": "Rising" 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"relative_strength": -12.945724, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.580604, "energy": 42.505692, "activity_lines": [ 110.678667, 119.548006, 120.804308, 119.444413 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 99.4, "volume": 3551091, "typical_volume": 4482575.45, "trend": 117.697155, "fair_value": 84.646799, "relative_strength": -16.797009, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.471384, "energy": 63.840646, "activity_lines": [ 105.756667, 114.873818, 118.950655, 118.235316 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 97.58, "volume": 5138297, "typical_volume": 4590385.7, "trend": 117.166366, "fair_value": 84.787558, "relative_strength": -19.080929, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.03937, "energy": 77.563052, "activity_lines": [ 102.113333, 110.450545, 116.967875, 116.937436 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 108.09, "volume": 5142528, "typical_volume": 4358495.15, "trend": 116.932019, "fair_value": 84.9955, "relative_strength": -13.435322, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.387801, "energy": 69.979053, "activity_lines": [ 103.209333, 108.590545, 116.046522, 116.351863 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }