{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ae1d765e-b0d6-4b97-a1b5-8c1ffd00cd3f",
    "symbol": "2401",
    "name": "Sunplus Technology Company Limited",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 77.722,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 2.188,
    "architecture_energy": 16.459,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.074,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.582,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 62.7,
        "rotation_up": 15.21,
        "upward_expansion": 41.16,
        "deceleration": 85.03,
        "rotation_down": 39.66,
        "downward_expansion": 32.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        26.246666,
        27.642727,
        28.209524,
        27.058602
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 25.5,
    "trend_reference": 25.471667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.001112,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.263782,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.064693,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.016114,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.186047,
    "excess_performance": -0.159686,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001112,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128063,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064693,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.196626,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.210161,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.160946,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186047,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.78955,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13019325,
      "relative_activity": 0.268458,
      "balance": 0.78955,
      "dry_up": 0.344812,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.157919,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.626065,
      "from_high_reference": -0.284713,
      "from_low_reference": 0.335079
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25.471667,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.263782,
      "structural_low": 19.299999,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.057971,
        "positive_rate": 0.307692,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.307692,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040833,
        "regime_survival": 0.384615,
        "best_return": 0.231884,
        "worst_return": -0.272242,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.076423,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.094027,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.113782,
        "worst_return": -0.312187,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.05762,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.111744,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.238095,
        "worst_return": -0.253539,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.173418,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.184587,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.234938,
        "worst_return": -0.357746,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.060163,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.00641,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.008403,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.1202,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.211765,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015686,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.044304,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.160521,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.004926,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.084788,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.048507,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "volume": 15804382,
        "typical_volume": 47974332.9,
        "trend": 25.128333,
        "fair_value": 27.315705,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 26.799999,
        "volume": 15877863,
        "typical_volume": 48239389.8,
        "trend": 25.346667,
        "fair_value": 27.29359,
        "relative_strength": -18.627242,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 12.469088,
        "energy": 17.609775,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.696666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 25.5,
        "volume": 13019325,
        "typical_volume": 48496764.1,
        "trend": 25.471667,
        "fair_value": 27.263782,
        "relative_strength": -21.016114,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.187656,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}