{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ae1fcb87-74a2-41db-8432-49d3b2fceb12", "symbol": "DGI9", "name": "Digital 9 Infrastructure PLC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.295, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.458, "architecture_energy": 26.933, "architecture_maturity": 13.402, "architecture_confidence": 88.034, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.91, "rotation_up": 23.16, "upward_expansion": 2.39, "deceleration": 48.83, "rotation_down": 38.48, "downward_expansion": 66.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.045833, 0.046024, 0.046209, 0.047532 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.045, "trend_reference": 0.049588, "distance_from_trend": -0.092528, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.165908, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.728765, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -33.315074, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.196429, "excess_performance": -0.247664, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.092528, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.112619, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.728765, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055365, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.333151, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083966, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.196429, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.176112, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12647826, "relative_activity": 2.204849, "balance": 0.176112, "dry_up": 0.883851, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090291, "annualized_volatility": 0.526039, "from_high_reference": -0.54955, "from_low_reference": 0.025057 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.049588, "fair_value_reference": 0.165908, "structural_low": 0.0439, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.02899, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.048751, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.022523, "worst_return": -0.47314, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.176421, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.210355, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": -0.081081, "worst_return": -0.575413, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.38208, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.514447, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.292793, "worst_return": -0.49845, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.581555, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.71081, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.523469, "worst_return": -0.63964, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-10-07", "end": "2024-05-17", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.752172, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-24", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.081081, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.066667, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.038251, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.22624, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.212598, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019388, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.038144, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.053763, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", 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"direction": -33.766463, "energy": 16.47554, "activity_lines": [ 0.046793, 0.046235, 0.046907, 0.048491 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0465, "volume": 5599371, "typical_volume": 5664816.45, "trend": 0.050595, "fair_value": 0.172854, "relative_strength": -32.764953, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.176574, "energy": 16.182391, "activity_lines": [ 0.04687, 0.046358, 0.046733, 0.048202 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0453, "volume": 1239345, "typical_volume": 5204740.0, "trend": 0.050088, "fair_value": 0.169286, "relative_strength": -34.008923, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.846217, "energy": 17.657553, "activity_lines": [ 0.046393, 0.046217, 0.046468, 0.047861 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.045, "volume": 12647826, "typical_volume": 5736367.8, "trend": 0.049588, "fair_value": 0.165908, "relative_strength": -33.315074, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.45783, "energy": 26.932695, "activity_lines": [ 0.045833, 0.046024, 0.046209, 0.047532 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }