{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ae28b2a0-ba34-409e-903e-073018e7a6a2",
    "symbol": "ZZ-B",
    "name": "Zinzino AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 88.707,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -48.746,
    "architecture_energy": 40.139,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.047,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.698,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.94,
        "rotation_up": 15.94,
        "upward_expansion": 9.44,
        "deceleration": 38.59,
        "rotation_down": 56.69,
        "downward_expansion": 80.44
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        130.266669,
        132.092728,
        133.437984,
        134.289672
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 134.100006,
    "trend_reference": 135.877735,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.013083,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 114.098676,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.175299,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -17.863915,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.025229,
    "excess_performance": -0.036265,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013083,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044176,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.175299,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037686,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.178639,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.176586,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025229,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.524362,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 193935,
      "relative_activity": 0.895224,
      "balance": 2.524362,
      "dry_up": 0.853212,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.086456,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.496082,
      "from_high_reference": -0.468911,
      "from_low_reference": 0.228022
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 135.877735,
      "fair_value_reference": 114.098676,
      "structural_low": 118.407415,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.007513,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029216,
        "regime_survival": 0.529412,
        "best_return": 0.36211,
        "worst_return": -0.167116,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.068874,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046164,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.779376,
        "worst_return": -0.333595,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.231884,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.233938,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.76247,
        "worst_return": -0.270889,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 1.481605,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 1.449625,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.935896,
        "worst_return": -0.51763,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.118367,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.048462,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.13913,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.076456,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.125561,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 1.341908,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.22494,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.236709,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.355172,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.159383,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.067471,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.088,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 123.780846,
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        "typical_volume": 238767.4,
        "trend": 140.596528,
        "fair_value": 105.209669,
        "relative_strength": -35.816052,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": -34.381286,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 362298,
        "typical_volume": 236903.15,
        "trend": 140.25263,
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        "relative_strength": -35.522495,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 241895.9,
        "trend": 140.31785,
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        "relative_strength": -32.166846,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 558689,
        "typical_volume": 263474.25,
        "trend": 141.034786,
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        "relative_strength": -24.452318,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -43.332862,
        "energy": 36.78814,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 149.688461,
        "volume": 681161,
        "typical_volume": 287147.85,
        "trend": 142.157735,
        "fair_value": 108.125054,
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 135.300003,
        "volume": 71397,
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        "relative_strength": -25.872671,
        "stage": 3,
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        "direction": -25.859516,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 139.899994,
        "volume": 38402,
        "typical_volume": 269185.15,
        "trend": 143.497735,
        "fair_value": 109.372448,
        "relative_strength": -22.37206,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.520897,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 85450,
        "typical_volume": 247004.5,
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        "fair_value": 111.193449,
        "relative_strength": -20.824841,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 244773.5,
        "trend": 139.407735,
        "fair_value": 111.790714,
        "relative_strength": -21.735516,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.692646,
        "energy": 15.202428,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 126.599998,
        "volume": 187650,
        "typical_volume": 221278.8,
        "trend": 138.387735,
        "fair_value": 112.350539,
        "relative_strength": -23.191044,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.124021,
        "energy": 24.277624,
        "activity_lines": [
          132.68,
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          134.647013,
          135.692028
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 129.199997,
        "volume": 174686,
        "typical_volume": 216655.55,
        "trend": 137.507734,
        "fair_value": 112.92884,
        "relative_strength": -21.491211,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.554699,
        "energy": 36.576653,
        "activity_lines": [
          131.126666,
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          134.064955,
          135.099271
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 127.400002,
        "volume": 183064,
        "typical_volume": 217507.5,
        "trend": 136.541068,
        "fair_value": 113.491378,
        "relative_strength": -22.072941,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.403366,
        "energy": 46.674302,
        "activity_lines": [
          129.386667,
          132.270699,
          133.403851,
          134.447159
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 134.100006,
        "volume": 193935,
        "typical_volume": 216632.95,
        "trend": 135.877735,
        "fair_value": 114.098676,
        "relative_strength": -17.863915,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.745912,
        "energy": 40.139008,
        "activity_lines": [
          130.266669,
          132.092728,
          133.437984,
          134.289672
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}