{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ae2efd2d-c824-43b9-809d-004e2140284c", "symbol": "HMC", "name": "Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 50.188, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 61.496, "architecture_energy": 74.626, "architecture_maturity": 18.645, "architecture_confidence": 65.875, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.59, "rotation_up": 79.95, "upward_expansion": 67.86, "deceleration": 18.3, "rotation_down": 16.98, "downward_expansion": 23.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.884667, 28.817273, 27.568524, 27.207591 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 31.82, "trend_reference": 27.477, "distance_from_trend": 0.158059, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.327398, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.084992, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.670512, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.030469, "excess_performance": -0.156094, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.158059, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023885, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.084992, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.249458, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026705, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.237855, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.030469, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.912238, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7491058, "relative_activity": 0.8759, "balance": 1.912238, "dry_up": 0.701234, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053923, "annualized_volatility": 0.279628, "from_high_reference": -0.068438, "from_low_reference": 0.368897 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.477, "fair_value_reference": 29.327398, "structural_low": 23.245, "invalidation": "A 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"energy": 26.098558, "activity_lines": [ 27.412, 27.024, 26.204381, 26.669634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.16, "volume": 4633153, "typical_volume": 9133664.6, "trend": 27.487667, "fair_value": 29.303792, "relative_strength": -11.691388, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.700578, "energy": 44.312231, "activity_lines": [ 27.766667, 27.301636, 26.412048, 26.708796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.16, "volume": 4413729, "typical_volume": 8907825.55, "trend": 27.433, "fair_value": 29.298013, "relative_strength": -10.636269, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.680553, "energy": 49.101035, "activity_lines": [ 28.006667, 27.512909, 26.629238, 26.752172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.11, "volume": 7451029, "typical_volume": 8659891.55, "trend": 27.438, "fair_value": 29.310242, "relative_strength": -5.074325, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 54.852459, "energy": 61.911191, "activity_lines": [ 28.77, 28.042727, 27.027762, 26.924882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.82, "volume": 7491058, "typical_volume": 8552410.05, "trend": 27.477, "fair_value": 29.327398, "relative_strength": -2.670512, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 61.495508, "energy": 74.625833, "activity_lines": [ 29.884667, 28.817273, 27.568524, 27.207591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }