{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ae326246-a298-4c3d-8597-b3d2e889eea0", "symbol": "MLRN", "name": "M.L.R.N Projects and Trading Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.969, "architecture_energy": 67.683, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 29.96, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.88, "rotation_down": 56.17, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.936667, 13.007091, 368.211239, 638.476235 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.07, "trend_reference": 956.111749, "distance_from_trend": -0.98633, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 827.684991, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.984209, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.97847, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.991243, "excess_performance": -1.020143, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.98633, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.341702, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 12.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.04158, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.565217, "median_excess_return": -0.048505, "regime_survival": 0.869565, "best_return": 0.318152, "worst_return": -0.989931, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.170107, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.168652, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.366424, "worst_return": -0.990738, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.13548, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.143334, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.531863, "worst_return": -0.312478, "sufficient": false }, { 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"direction": -68.57352, "energy": 68.783678, "activity_lines": [ 13.073333, 84.046182, 518.23804, 770.007071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.65, "volume": 24539, "typical_volume": 32410.5, "trend": 1006.992965, "fair_value": 830.962375, "relative_strength": -99.029431, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.46589, "energy": 68.443072, "activity_lines": [ 12.917333, 36.567091, 439.750162, 702.600297 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.07, "volume": 131735, "typical_volume": 38039.6, "trend": 956.111749, "fair_value": 827.684991, "relative_strength": -98.97847, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.969304, "energy": 67.682767, "activity_lines": [ 12.936667, 13.007091, 368.211239, 638.476235 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }