{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ae358e41-86fc-461f-a4a5-5409731c5b16", "symbol": "4416", "name": "Shanyuan Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.116, "architecture_energy": 47.211, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.235, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.62, "rotation_up": 27.61, "upward_expansion": 6.93, "deceleration": 59.77, "rotation_down": 46.6, "downward_expansion": 77.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.556667, 10.787273, 11.17, 12.461505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 10.85, "trend_reference": 15.596667, "distance_from_trend": -0.304339, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 59.64814, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.8181, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -76.752525, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.624567, "excess_performance": -1.06594, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.304339, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.351445, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.8181, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002691, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.767525, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062022, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.624567, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.582482, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2426000, "relative_activity": 0.983377, "balance": 0.582482, "dry_up": 0.560611, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138178, "annualized_volatility": 0.814126, "from_high_reference": -0.824717, "from_low_reference": 0.170442 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.596667, "fair_value_reference": 59.64814, "structural_low": 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61.426116, "relative_strength": -79.735925, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.3227, "energy": 49.095339, "activity_lines": [ 11.53, 11.382727, 12.140714, 14.796129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.25, "volume": 2428010, "typical_volume": 2814375.1, "trend": 18.451667, "fair_value": 61.046275, "relative_strength": -79.947977, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.178116, "energy": 50.53802, "activity_lines": [ 11.176667, 11.169091, 11.83881, 14.213333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.6, "volume": 1399000, "typical_volume": 2811963.25, "trend": 17.638333, "fair_value": 60.687914, "relative_strength": -78.914679, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.214818, "energy": 56.009694, "activity_lines": [ 10.96, 11.060909, 11.639524, 13.706774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.15, "volume": 1059000, "typical_volume": 2434926.1, "trend": 16.941667, "fair_value": 60.336546, "relative_strength": -78.707878, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.523063, "energy": 57.561378, "activity_lines": [ 10.553333, 10.888182, 11.426429, 13.223656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.55, "volume": 648128, "typical_volume": 2427868.35, "trend": 16.271667, "fair_value": 59.989302, "relative_strength": -77.514694, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.449942, "energy": 53.148693, "activity_lines": [ 10.473333, 10.807273, 11.273095, 12.81129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 10.85, "volume": 2426000, "typical_volume": 2467008.1, "trend": 15.596667, "fair_value": 59.64814, "relative_strength": -76.752525, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.115716, "energy": 47.21066, "activity_lines": [ 10.556667, 10.787273, 11.17, 12.461505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }