{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ae4fc388-248a-4744-a6d7-5eaa8a83c7a9", "symbol": "688261", "name": "Suzhou Oriental Semiconductor Company Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 89.105, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.34, "architecture_energy": 42.887, "architecture_maturity": 32.222, "architecture_confidence": 76.074, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.37, "rotation_up": 13.49, "upward_expansion": 9.01, "deceleration": 40.0, "rotation_down": 62.09, "downward_expansion": 80.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 70.084667, 73.971754, 76.51172, 78.150851 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 73.400002, "trend_reference": 81.807449, "distance_from_trend": -0.102771, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 63.952487, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.147727, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.414777, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.286131, "excess_performance": -0.242927, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.102771, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032483, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.147727, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025348, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.044148, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086723, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.286131, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.015518, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28148753, "relative_activity": 1.024654, "balance": 2.015518, "dry_up": 1.394492, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.23772, "annualized_volatility": 0.853856, "from_high_reference": -0.358952, "from_low_reference": 0.408018 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 81.807449, "fair_value_reference": 63.952487, 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"activity_lines": [ 77.525214, 79.442489, 78.826151, 80.603067 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 70.199997, "volume": 44173333, "typical_volume": 26297344.05, "trend": 82.306782, "fair_value": 64.688738, "relative_strength": -4.913558, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.789457, "energy": 32.704062, "activity_lines": [ 74.092112, 77.502607, 78.019229, 79.833511 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 64.919998, "volume": 28354571, "typical_volume": 26831050.7, "trend": 82.094449, "fair_value": 64.275078, "relative_strength": -12.776409, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.465296, "energy": 47.899972, "activity_lines": [ 69.990344, 74.84018, 76.812879, 78.711783 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 73.400002, "volume": 28148753, "typical_volume": 27471470.0, "trend": 81.807449, "fair_value": 63.952487, "relative_strength": -4.414777, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.340001, "energy": 42.886678, "activity_lines": [ 70.084667, 73.971754, 76.51172, 78.150851 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }