{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ae540a2e-e4d7-424a-bd75-32aa1a98ca07",
    "symbol": "PRU",
    "name": "Perseus Mining Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -35.865,
    "architecture_energy": 27.009,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.464,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.751,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.46,
        "rotation_up": 21.76,
        "upward_expansion": 5.26,
        "deceleration": 49.99,
        "rotation_down": 45.17,
        "downward_expansion": 73.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.008,
        5.020727,
        5.126333,
        5.207438
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 5.44,
    "trend_reference": 5.353026,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.016248,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.339849,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.628816,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.660078,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.027478,
    "excess_performance": -0.036227,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016248,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021787,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.628816,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.178944,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006601,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.159332,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027478,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.082096,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 22931468,
      "relative_activity": 1.520108,
      "balance": 1.082096,
      "dry_up": 1.206479,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.068227,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.385821,
      "from_high_reference": -0.168676,
      "from_low_reference": 0.614014
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.353026,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.339849,
      "structural_low": 4.5,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.032802,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030659,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.381703,
        "worst_return": -0.138866,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.038592,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.066772,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.30697,
        "worst_return": -0.005249,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.09066,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.079365,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.148179,
        "worst_return": 0.03314,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.278316,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.218387,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.537695,
        "worst_return": 0.018936,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.094086,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026239,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009852,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.231527,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.039412,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "return": 0.112403,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "return": 0.227573,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.200565,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.073864,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 17165914.55,
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        "fair_value": 3.294823,
        "relative_strength": -5.867508,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.367881,
        "energy": 64.933733,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.85,
        "volume": 13746085,
        "typical_volume": 16634262.65,
        "trend": 5.360404,
        "fair_value": 3.3154,
        "relative_strength": -6.805968,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.583714,
        "energy": 65.233154,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.44,
        "volume": 22931468,
        "typical_volume": 15085422.7,
        "trend": 5.353026,
        "fair_value": 3.339849,
        "relative_strength": 0.660078,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.86532,
        "energy": 27.009063,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}