{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ae68d52e-ea17-4984-b17a-dfdcb950a9dd", "symbol": "RPAC", "name": "Rapac Communication & Infrastructure Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.931, "architecture_energy": 67.279, "architecture_maturity": 86.54, "architecture_confidence": 95.058, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 29.84, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.74, "rotation_down": 55.97, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 84.803333, 87.518727, 2532.765857, 4131.759419 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 79.22, "trend_reference": 5867.154333, "distance_from_trend": -0.986498, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3986.766859, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.980129, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.769052, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.990556, "excess_performance": -1.019456, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.986498, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.269315, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.980129, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -2.342707, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.987691, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.137118, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.990556, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.675022, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39623, "relative_activity": 1.263529, "balance": 0.675022, "dry_up": 1.483075, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 11.656507, "annualized_volatility": 6.394677, "from_high_reference": -0.992187, "from_low_reference": 0.004692 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5867.154333, "fair_value_reference": 3986.766859, "structural_low": 78.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.026202, "positive_rate": 0.705882, "directional_follow_through": 0.294118, "median_excess_return": 0.014224, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.13531, "worst_return": -0.159664, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.02161, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.001077, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.257447, "worst_return": -0.097844, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.098803, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.028961, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.180112, "worst_return": -0.095191, "sufficient": false 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"trend": 5867.154333, "fair_value": 3986.766859, "relative_strength": -98.769052, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.931389, "energy": 67.278645, "activity_lines": [ 84.803333, 87.518727, 2532.765857, 4131.759419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }