{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ae8b6d82-f550-4d2a-9a31-578678c4254b", "symbol": "HBT", "name": "Hbt Financial Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.909, "architecture_energy": 92.298, "architecture_maturity": 51.894, "architecture_confidence": 79.397, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 86.83, "upward_expansion": 98.97, "deceleration": 39.56, "rotation_down": 9.14, "downward_expansion": 20.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.838667, 33.510182, 31.546515, 30.375943 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 36.35, "trend_reference": 29.110822, "distance_from_trend": 0.248677, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.485511, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.616597, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 17.149315, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.251955, "excess_performance": 0.064502, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.248677, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095497, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.616597, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.293569, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.171493, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.247006, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.251955, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.947908, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 510508, "relative_activity": 0.841748, "balance": 2.947908, "dry_up": 1.125345, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047186, "annualized_volatility": 0.203563, "from_high_reference": -0.012966, "from_low_reference": 0.667029 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.110822, "fair_value_reference": 22.485511, "structural_low": 24.673116, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.017989, "positive_rate": 0.310345, "directional_follow_through": 0.310345, "median_excess_return": -0.02931, "regime_survival": 0.655172, "best_return": 0.08264, "worst_return": -0.114712, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.001218, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.017004, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.192086, "worst_return": -0.227669, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.012584, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.118034, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.015758, "worst_return": -0.192148, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"close": 33.29, "volume": 643137, "typical_volume": 599338.05, "trend": 28.415144, "fair_value": 22.251175, "relative_strength": 14.330248, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.625754, "energy": 81.298602, "activity_lines": [ 32.654667, 31.752727, 30.260152, 29.40767 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.84, "volume": 796794, "typical_volume": 602581.2, "trend": 28.766618, "fair_value": 22.366085, "relative_strength": 21.864947, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.07317, "energy": 88.779425, "activity_lines": [ 33.798, 32.653091, 30.90259, 29.886693 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.35, "volume": 510508, "typical_volume": 606485.35, "trend": 29.110822, "fair_value": 22.485511, "relative_strength": 17.149315, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.909156, "energy": 92.297828, "activity_lines": [ 34.838667, 33.510182, 31.546515, 30.375943 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }