{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aeafe1a6-aeab-4b1a-9bb2-77ac3b56d7f7", "symbol": "5234", "name": "Daxin Materials Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 73.767, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.581, "architecture_energy": 74.344, "architecture_maturity": 19.062, "architecture_confidence": 86.36, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.31, "rotation_up": 9.16, "upward_expansion": 17.17, "deceleration": 37.15, "rotation_down": 75.6, "downward_expansion": 92.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 324.933333, 343.4, 369.664286, 376.971358 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 326.5, "trend_reference": 378.892301, "distance_from_trend": -0.138278, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 229.218103, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.424408, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.894644, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.047331, "excess_performance": -0.488703, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.138278, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016394, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.424408, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.502848, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.368946, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.187709, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.047331, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.499844, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 698211, "relative_activity": 0.239943, "balance": 0.499844, "dry_up": 0.446651, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115208, "annualized_volatility": 0.471502, "from_high_reference": -0.346346, "from_low_reference": 0.328021 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 378.892301, "fair_value_reference": 229.218103, "structural_low": 283.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.056311, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.004608, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.094298, "worst_return": -0.066873, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.029447, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026139, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.184211, "worst_return": -0.243104, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.128166, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.128166, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.661184, "worst_return": -0.404852, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.748637, "energy": 50.17718, "activity_lines": [ 356.433333, 373.236364, 389.31885, 388.575466 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 311.5, "volume": 2136874, "typical_volume": 3325778.8, "trend": 381.613028, "fair_value": 226.590426, "relative_strength": -36.803528, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -50.613006, "energy": 65.919924, "activity_lines": [ 338.033333, 359.4, 381.504762, 384.009223 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 326.0, "volume": 1078495, "typical_volume": 3041728.1, "trend": 379.973891, "fair_value": 227.88472, "relative_strength": -35.161969, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.250243, "energy": 65.508248, "activity_lines": [ 328.866667, 350.6, 375.435714, 380.421286 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 326.5, "volume": 698211, "typical_volume": 2909906.35, "trend": 378.892301, "fair_value": 229.218103, "relative_strength": -36.894644, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.580671, "energy": 74.344015, "activity_lines": [ 324.933333, 343.4, 369.664286, 376.971358 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }