{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "aeb05845-c9db-4f99-9cd7-5e8906306c96",
    "symbol": "BWFG",
    "name": "Bankwell Financial Group Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.775,
    "architecture_energy": 89.6,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.807,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.85,
        "rotation_up": 82.17,
        "upward_expansion": 96.66,
        "deceleration": 42.37,
        "rotation_down": 9.23,
        "downward_expansion": 20.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        64.795333,
        62.078182,
        58.318783,
        55.802721
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 66.9,
    "trend_reference": 52.843553,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.266001,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.883844,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.917793,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 19.66982,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.337795,
    "excess_performance": 0.150341,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.266001,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096593,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.917793,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.281147,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.196698,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.194919,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.337795,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.666237,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 302519,
      "relative_activity": 1.024749,
      "balance": 2.666237,
      "dry_up": 1.335811,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.055562,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.23838,
      "from_high_reference": -0.038655,
      "from_low_reference": 0.714195
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 52.843553,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.883844,
      "structural_low": 44.749072,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.005263,
        "positive_rate": 0.533333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.533333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014885,
        "regime_survival": 0.766667,
        "best_return": 0.19886,
        "worst_return": -0.154494,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.102735,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017002,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.112477,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.193637,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": 0.10787,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
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        "return": 0.008333,
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 264567.6,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 81.204542,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 487233,
        "typical_volume": 282364.9,
        "trend": 51.377074,
        "fair_value": 34.348941,
        "relative_strength": 19.177364,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 80.228564,
        "energy": 81.635149,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 68.15,
        "volume": 364695,
        "typical_volume": 290266.75,
        "trend": 52.158433,
        "fair_value": 34.62167,
        "relative_strength": 28.886856,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.984691,
        "energy": 92.420977,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.966,
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          54.851652
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 66.9,
        "volume": 302519,
        "typical_volume": 295212.85,
        "trend": 52.843553,
        "fair_value": 34.883844,
        "relative_strength": 19.66982,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.775097,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}