{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aeb0d1be-006e-479e-9b83-7247e71dea74", "symbol": "MAGNUM", "name": "Magnum Ventures Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.284, "architecture_energy": 26.725, "architecture_maturity": 70.895, "architecture_confidence": 88.352, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.44, "rotation_up": 19.44, "upward_expansion": 2.21, "deceleration": 51.22, "rotation_down": 42.4, "downward_expansion": 70.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.39, 19.459273, 19.769809, 19.977957 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 19.32, "trend_reference": 20.353666, "distance_from_trend": -0.050785, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.007842, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.46345, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.228795, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.099301, "excess_performance": -0.055592, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.050785, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059051, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.46345, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030655, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.112288, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04142, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.099301, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.567659, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 180017, "relative_activity": 0.763011, "balance": 0.567659, "dry_up": 0.863179, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075251, "annualized_volatility": 0.378367, "from_high_reference": -0.361322, "from_low_reference": 0.188923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.353666, "fair_value_reference": 36.007842, "structural_low": 16.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.044753, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.026569, "regime_survival": 0.916667, "best_return": 0.260946, "worst_return": -0.212776, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.071095, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.085202, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.309677, "worst_return": -0.34882, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.144783, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.134582, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.470968, "worst_return": -0.37801, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -8.506366, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.768949, "energy": 30.248417, "activity_lines": [ 19.351333, 19.481091, 19.854809, 20.106344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.68, "volume": 314563, "typical_volume": 242070.65, "trend": 20.439666, "fair_value": 36.097935, "relative_strength": -9.27015, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.418747, "energy": 26.55159, "activity_lines": [ 19.434667, 19.500364, 19.830143, 20.050193 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.32, "volume": 180017, "typical_volume": 235929.65, "trend": 20.353666, "fair_value": 36.007842, "relative_strength": -11.228795, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.28397, "energy": 26.725432, "activity_lines": [ 19.39, 19.459273, 19.769809, 19.977957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }