{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "aeb3f4ad-a12e-4672-b784-5515bce5ce5b",
    "symbol": "XRN",
    "name": "Chiron Real Estate Inc.",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 80.739,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 36.087,
    "architecture_energy": 19.96,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.11,
    "architecture_confidence": 47.244,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.75,
        "rotation_up": 37.87,
        "upward_expansion": 62.69,
        "deceleration": 58.71,
        "rotation_down": 24.4,
        "downward_expansion": 15.02
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.446518,
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        36.160022,
        35.622768
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 36.07,
    "trend_reference": 35.108344,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.027391,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 35.867036,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.005659,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.153699,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.010611,
    "excess_performance": -0.115014,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027391,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04313,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005659,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068162,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051537,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030793,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010611,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.773529,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 449547,
      "relative_activity": 0.739222,
      "balance": 0.773529,
      "dry_up": 0.620906,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067914,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.305742,
      "from_high_reference": -0.062722,
      "from_low_reference": 0.302279
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 35.108344,
      "fair_value_reference": 35.867036,
      "structural_low": 28.719998,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.013374,
        "positive_rate": 0.470588,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.470588,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011248,
        "regime_survival": 0.705882,
        "best_return": 0.103127,
        "worst_return": -0.100104,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.018574,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012493,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.041962,
        "worst_return": -0.110619,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.161131,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.363157,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.234712,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -2.009096,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 35.921349,
        "relative_strength": -2.922591,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 30.231331,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 37.736989,
        "volume": 343026,
        "typical_volume": 681905.2,
        "trend": 34.80335,
        "fair_value": 35.914233,
        "relative_strength": 3.015802,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.531024,
        "energy": 44.307447,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.051324,
          36.665294,
          35.822026,
          35.344348
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.57,
        "volume": 398357,
        "typical_volume": 651878.85,
        "trend": 34.969257,
        "fair_value": 35.909522,
        "relative_strength": 3.155016,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.717205,
        "energy": 43.31028,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.334159,
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          36.061125,
          35.522841
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.5,
        "volume": 319450,
        "typical_volume": 625722.1,
        "trend": 35.051874,
        "fair_value": 35.881362,
        "relative_strength": -3.448239,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.202248,
        "energy": 24.779067,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.741682,
          36.687405,
          36.090004,
          35.557083
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 36.07,
        "volume": 449547,
        "typical_volume": 608135.15,
        "trend": 35.108344,
        "fair_value": 35.867036,
        "relative_strength": -5.153699,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.086681,
        "energy": 19.960062,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.446518,
          36.605544,
          36.160022,
          35.622768
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}