{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aebf3e0e-5468-4aab-ab49-914254b2bacb", "symbol": "300640", "name": "Profit Cultural and Creative Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.986, "architecture_energy": 25.431, "architecture_maturity": 61.944, "architecture_confidence": 81.472, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.41, "rotation_up": 25.46, "upward_expansion": 14.81, "deceleration": 46.4, "rotation_down": 30.25, "downward_expansion": 60.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.126667, 6.011882, 6.312595, 6.582771 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6.31, "trend_reference": 6.986979, "distance_from_trend": -0.096891, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.972184, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.056565, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.499017, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.189987, "excess_performance": -0.197387, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.096891, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079392, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.056565, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.253737, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.13499, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026967, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.189987, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.283127, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72990900, "relative_activity": 1.395065, "balance": 0.283127, "dry_up": 1.722076, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114595, "annualized_volatility": 0.393868, "from_high_reference": -0.409729, "from_low_reference": 0.220503 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.986979, "fair_value_reference": 5.972184, "structural_low": 5.17, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.020005, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.029165, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.268844, "worst_return": -0.176699, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.076681, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.046609, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.524064, "worst_return": -0.179715, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.154424, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.175373, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.596256, "worst_return": -0.202118, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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5.967788, "relative_strength": -19.806764, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.415865, "energy": 42.788831, "activity_lines": [ 5.862, 5.923228, 6.376874, 6.681844 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.31, "volume": 68611634, "typical_volume": 50800401.95, "trend": 7.034645, "fair_value": 5.970269, "relative_strength": -9.359336, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.67753, "energy": 29.556914, "activity_lines": [ 6.028, 5.958552, 6.342211, 6.629522 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.31, "volume": 72990900, "typical_volume": 52320778.55, "trend": 6.986979, "fair_value": 5.972184, "relative_strength": -13.499017, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.986439, "energy": 25.430747, "activity_lines": [ 6.126667, 6.011882, 6.312595, 6.582771 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }