{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aeda4b2f-b13f-47a4-96aa-5337424bdef3", "symbol": "YADV", "name": "Advero Properties SOCIMI, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 51.522, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -4.243, "architecture_energy": 12.369, "architecture_maturity": 15.451, "architecture_confidence": 71.118, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.28, "rotation_up": 30.69, "upward_expansion": 33.21, "deceleration": 40.25, "rotation_down": 20.32, "downward_expansion": 41.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.6, 13.592727, 13.552857, 13.553333 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 13.6, "trend_reference": 13.62, "distance_from_trend": -0.001468, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.830454, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.149576, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.895557, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.042254, "excess_performance": -0.166684, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.001468, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010654, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.149576, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020007, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.148956, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044456, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.042254, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.105263, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.105263, "dry_up": 0.693731, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.006222, "annualized_volatility": 0.068423, "from_high_reference": -0.055556, "from_low_reference": 0.038168 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.62, "fair_value_reference": 11.830454, "structural_low": 13.3, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.040821, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2023-09-15", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.004303, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.127451, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.043478, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.033333, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.116061, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.007042, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.048951, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.007463, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.007353, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.954273, "energy": 21.691273, "activity_lines": [ 13.593333, 13.545455, 13.522381, 13.573548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.6, "volume": 575, "typical_volume": 278.7, "trend": 13.69, "fair_value": 11.763363, "relative_strength": -12.132931, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.693707, "energy": 19.193765, "activity_lines": [ 13.6, 13.56, 13.530476, 13.566237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.6, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 283.65, "trend": 13.666667, "fair_value": 11.785726, "relative_strength": -13.304373, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.144245, "energy": 15.988272, "activity_lines": [ 13.6, 13.572727, 13.538095, 13.56043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.6, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 243.25, "trend": 13.643333, "fair_value": 11.80809, "relative_strength": -13.657972, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.117234, "energy": 13.639238, "activity_lines": [ 13.6, 13.583636, 13.545714, 13.556129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.6, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 243.25, "trend": 13.62, "fair_value": 11.830454, "relative_strength": -14.895557, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.242546, "energy": 12.368794, "activity_lines": [ 13.6, 13.592727, 13.552857, 13.553333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }