{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aedc08b4-06fd-4293-b46b-0de4acae56be", "symbol": "BG", "name": "BAWAG Group AG", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.199, "architecture_energy": 70.084, "architecture_maturity": 90.102, "architecture_confidence": 85.637, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.22, "rotation_up": 59.06, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 67.93, "rotation_down": 28.35, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 176.719998, 174.712726, 165.678519, 156.703194 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 182.899994, "trend_reference": 146.274797, "distance_from_trend": 0.250386, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 85.698335, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.13423, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.358719, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.40007, "excess_performance": 0.225824, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.250386, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.145638, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.13423, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.169832, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.153587, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072589, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.40007, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.672488, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 472832, "relative_activity": 0.816185, "balance": 1.672488, "dry_up": 1.020021, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040754, "annualized_volatility": 0.283268, "from_high_reference": -0.001092, "from_low_reference": 0.837087 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 146.274797, "fair_value_reference": 85.698335, "structural_low": 110.590036, 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145.491091 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 176.300003, "volume": 511315, "typical_volume": 862483.7, "trend": 139.218855, "fair_value": 82.1196, "relative_strength": 15.549583, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.390241, "energy": 90.455624, "activity_lines": [ 174.346667, 166.792728, 155.650751, 148.012358 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 172.0, "volume": 722287, "typical_volume": 655206.4, "trend": 140.962123, "fair_value": 82.988875, "relative_strength": 14.528545, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.291848, "energy": 87.874485, "activity_lines": [ 174.400001, 168.834546, 158.18914, 150.127271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 172.0, "volume": 619264, "typical_volume": 630571.2, "trend": 142.667025, "fair_value": 83.864574, "relative_strength": 12.605108, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.649536, "energy": 81.135386, "activity_lines": [ 173.746667, 170.42, 160.511375, 152.129715 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 175.0, "volume": 549290, "typical_volume": 617040.35, "trend": 144.34404, "fair_value": 84.755608, "relative_strength": 14.155089, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.520151, "energy": 65.256452, "activity_lines": [ 174.04, 172.06, 162.864806, 154.215713 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 182.899994, "volume": 472832, "typical_volume": 579319.65, "trend": 146.274797, "fair_value": 85.698335, "relative_strength": 15.358719, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.199108, "energy": 70.083788, "activity_lines": [ 176.719998, 174.712726, 165.678519, 156.703194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }