{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aefe75c3-5903-4ca4-9464-1cdff0975855", "symbol": "TQQQ", "name": "ProShares UltraPro QQQ", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 19.687, "architecture_energy": 21.76, "architecture_maturity": 79.989, "architecture_confidence": 81.768, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.57, "rotation_up": 24.32, "upward_expansion": 50.64, "deceleration": 82.24, "rotation_down": 39.0, "downward_expansion": 28.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 1197.133333, 1237.392876, 1248.61962, 1171.992979 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1280.0, "trend_reference": 1078.015108, "distance_from_trend": 0.187367, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1337.570549, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.043041, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.679096, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.462047, "excess_performance": 0.516714, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.187367, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033197, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.043041, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014636, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026791, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098305, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.462047, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.381729, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46225, "relative_activity": 0.505752, "balance": 1.381729, "dry_up": 1.386756, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109743, "annualized_volatility": 0.602858, "from_high_reference": -0.427707, "from_low_reference": 0.885125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1078.015108, "fair_value_reference": 1337.570549, "structural_low": 679.0, 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"fair_value": 1341.8127, "relative_strength": -12.003754, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.000594, "energy": 26.610958, "activity_lines": [ 1280.83584, 1311.688741, 1240.10554, 1150.928854 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1115.219971, "volume": 36655, "typical_volume": 89798.35, "trend": 1062.643758, "fair_value": 1339.892422, "relative_strength": -16.231429, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.208981, "energy": 21.272599, "activity_lines": [ 1216.59065, 1272.811399, 1238.792587, 1154.591517 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1121.160034, "volume": 93077, "typical_volume": 91221.1, "trend": 1068.793612, "fair_value": 1338.054335, "relative_strength": -15.606949, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.973654, "energy": 20.053397, "activity_lines": [ 1175.647998, 1238.627821, 1236.856596, 1158.366761 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1280.0, "volume": 46225, "typical_volume": 91398.55, "trend": 1078.015108, "fair_value": 1337.570549, "relative_strength": -2.679096, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.687423, "energy": 21.759852, "activity_lines": [ 1197.133333, 1237.392876, 1248.61962, 1171.992979 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }