{ "ticker": { "uuid": "af027e2d-5279-4654-af67-401ba5cbbf01", "symbol": "CUEH", "name": "CIBC MSCI USA Equity Index ETF (CAD-Hedged)", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 72.202, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.699, "architecture_energy": 50.732, "architecture_maturity": 56.264, "architecture_confidence": 62.82, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.6, "rotation_up": 48.23, "upward_expansion": 78.36, "deceleration": 67.92, "rotation_down": 27.56, "downward_expansion": 7.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.952666, 27.848278, 27.647869, 27.146628 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 28.43, "trend_reference": 26.586374, "distance_from_trend": 0.069345, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.314243, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.274074, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.679911, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.108896, "excess_performance": -0.011525, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069345, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02958, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.274074, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012739, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026799, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01104, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.108896, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.576375, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 71300, "relative_activity": 10.222222, "balance": 1.576375, "dry_up": 4.240143, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02102, "annualized_volatility": 0.133871, "from_high_reference": -0.015582, "from_low_reference": 0.203998 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.586374, "fair_value_reference": 22.314243, "structural_low": 23.613001, 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"fair_value": 21.970281, "relative_strength": -2.884252, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.753531, "energy": 44.552168, "activity_lines": [ 27.631022, 27.677699, 27.064905, 26.648568 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 28.139999, "volume": 3500, "typical_volume": 2195.0, "trend": 26.310194, "fair_value": 22.043018, "relative_strength": -1.543424, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.809135, "energy": 54.55999, "activity_lines": [ 27.795581, 27.768727, 27.226082, 26.772246 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.74, "volume": 1900, "typical_volume": 1835.0, "trend": 26.384713, "fair_value": 22.113191, "relative_strength": -2.644073, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.251679, "energy": 46.376826, "activity_lines": [ 27.791501, 27.771233, 27.337013, 26.864491 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.559999, "volume": 44900, "typical_volume": 3490.0, "trend": 26.43755, "fair_value": 22.178029, "relative_strength": -3.351015, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.027747, "energy": 42.318485, "activity_lines": [ 27.722108, 27.737023, 27.420649, 26.940316 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.709999, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 3485.0, "trend": 26.504617, "fair_value": 22.243828, "relative_strength": -2.209348, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.569005, "energy": 42.792083, "activity_lines": [ 27.736666, 27.726469, 27.506949, 27.02241 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.43, "volume": 71300, "typical_volume": 6975.0, "trend": 26.586374, "fair_value": 22.314243, "relative_strength": -2.679911, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.698663, "energy": 50.732317, "activity_lines": [ 27.952666, 27.848278, 27.647869, 27.146628 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }