{ "ticker": { "uuid": "af037bcd-6338-4435-863a-7488065f152e", "symbol": "PXS", "name": "Pyxis Tankers Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.17, "architecture_energy": 53.503, "architecture_maturity": 26.557, "architecture_confidence": 88.289, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.89, "rotation_up": 61.46, "upward_expansion": 80.64, "deceleration": 50.71, "rotation_down": 17.56, "downward_expansion": 14.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.696667, 4.545091, 4.48519, 4.387 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5.03, "trend_reference": 4.1675, "distance_from_trend": 0.206959, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.909597, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286578, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 23.266421, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.591772, "excess_performance": 0.404319, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.206959, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.150025, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.286578, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147829, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.232664, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093111, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.591772, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.566906, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 175725, "relative_activity": 0.772259, "balance": 1.566906, "dry_up": 0.639768, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097888, "annualized_volatility": 0.395422, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 1.036437 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.1675, "fair_value_reference": 3.909597, "structural_low": 3.16, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.010025, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": -0.03997, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.206235, "worst_return": -0.234583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.031359, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.036696, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.378378, "worst_return": -0.35215, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.016743, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.102021, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.796382, "worst_return": -0.407, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.028513, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.421245, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.311526, "worst_return": -0.434, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2023-12-01", "end": "2023-12-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.064133, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-15", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.059553, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.081633, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-04-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.072556, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-05-03", "end": "2024-05-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.07265, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-24", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.01581, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.032454, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.152, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.238213, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.00346, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.097561, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.25937, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.206235, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 3.66, "volume": 100013, "typical_volume": 423146.7, "trend": 4.544667, "fair_value": 3.656421, "relative_strength": -31.834181, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established 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17.502247, "activity_lines": [ 4.378667, 4.407636, 4.386571, 4.203398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.17, "volume": 184236, "typical_volume": 293111.25, "trend": 3.931833, "fair_value": 3.883763, "relative_strength": 4.112719, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.069917, "energy": 10.823682, "activity_lines": [ 4.286, 4.361273, 4.374381, 4.221409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.34, "volume": 67229, "typical_volume": 274995.4, "trend": 3.977833, "fair_value": 3.888443, "relative_strength": 12.680974, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.392735, "energy": 10.747711, "activity_lines": [ 4.28, 4.352, 4.375429, 4.247742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.47, "volume": 117880, "typical_volume": 246486.3, "trend": 4.0285, "fair_value": 3.892674, "relative_strength": 17.406983, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.613329, "energy": 10.989326, "activity_lines": [ 4.336, 4.367273, 4.388, 4.279495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.76, "volume": 221474, "typical_volume": 237305.25, "trend": 4.095167, "fair_value": 3.90011, "relative_strength": 23.556026, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.245927, "energy": 26.390923, "activity_lines": [ 4.482667, 4.433091, 4.425905, 4.326688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.03, "volume": 175725, "typical_volume": 227546.7, "trend": 4.1675, "fair_value": 3.909597, "relative_strength": 23.266421, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.169632, "energy": 53.502725, "activity_lines": [ 4.696667, 4.545091, 4.48519, 4.387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }