{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "af054f3f-1866-482f-b9a5-f57962f77c4c",
    "symbol": "PABG",
    "name": "Amundi S&P Eurozone Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF Acc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.52,
    "architecture_energy": 57.302,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.175,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.317,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.45,
        "rotation_up": 53.28,
        "upward_expansion": 79.39,
        "deceleration": 64.9,
        "rotation_down": 26.04,
        "downward_expansion": 8.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.4595,
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        35.702821,
        35.128043
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 37.610001,
    "trend_reference": 34.580583,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.087605,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 28.785729,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30655,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.579242,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.100593,
    "excess_performance": 0.049357,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087605,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029582,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.30655,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085453,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025792,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046035,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100593,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.776038,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3339,
      "relative_activity": 0.232071,
      "balance": 1.776038,
      "dry_up": 1.14482,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023019,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.183207,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003048,
      "from_low_reference": 0.234531
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 34.580583,
      "fair_value_reference": 28.785729,
      "structural_low": 30.465,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.003941,
        "positive_rate": 0.451613,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.451613,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004388,
        "regime_survival": 0.741935,
        "best_return": 0.098818,
        "worst_return": -0.117784,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.006913,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007543,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.117228,
        "worst_return": -0.038738,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.044747,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.0108,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.119351,
        "worst_return": 0.013173,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.18789,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.039897,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.224844,
        "worst_return": 0.090186,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 33.682499,
        "volume": 4782,
        "typical_volume": 14325.1,
        "trend": 33.50979,
        "fair_value": 27.630777,
        "relative_strength": -3.767958,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 10.032914,
        "energy": 22.725635,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.920833,
          33.341181,
          33.528762,
          33.533911
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 33.827499,
        "volume": 31847,
        "typical_volume": 15544.65,
        "trend": 33.564123,
        "fair_value": 27.70254,
        "relative_strength": -2.024242,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 1.104,
        "energy": 15.143879,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.938499,
          33.446136,
          33.545976,
          33.554408
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 33.834999,
        "volume": 6013,
        "typical_volume": 15571.75,
        "trend": 33.605706,
        "fair_value": 27.772155,
        "relative_strength": -1.541205,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 7.146609,
        "energy": 9.451401,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.867499,
          33.581499,
          33.562916,
          33.571884
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 34.737499,
        "volume": 7479,
        "typical_volume": 15085.7,
        "trend": 33.50725,
        "fair_value": 27.849062,
        "relative_strength": -1.467983,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.581159,
        "energy": 29.083222,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.109666,
          33.869772,
          33.663666,
          33.644903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 35.25,
        "volume": 8712,
        "typical_volume": 14255.9,
        "trend": 33.587,
        "fair_value": 27.929655,
        "relative_strength": 0.568937,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.454629,
        "energy": 41.334573,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.536166,
          34.209954,
          33.808309,
          33.757338
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 35.220001,
        "volume": 759,
        "typical_volume": 13962.65,
        "trend": 33.686833,
        "fair_value": 28.011738,
        "relative_strength": 0.920341,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.26962,
        "energy": 58.380848,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.854,
          34.472227,
          33.945726,
          33.862693
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 36.049999,
        "volume": 2050,
        "typical_volume": 13523.35,
        "trend": 33.785,
        "fair_value": 28.095857,
        "relative_strength": 2.252628,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.94412,
        "energy": 74.088279,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.346,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 36.889999,
        "volume": 157,
        "typical_volume": 13225.45,
        "trend": 33.942916,
        "fair_value": 28.189639,
        "relative_strength": 5.633083,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.833383,
        "energy": 83.711221,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.969833,
          35.241772,
          34.43863,
          34.215478
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 36.162498,
        "volume": 342,
        "typical_volume": 12998.35,
        "trend": 34.047916,
        "fair_value": 28.273549,
        "relative_strength": 2.130553,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.416291,
        "energy": 79.33794,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.147499,
          35.485817,
          34.635833,
          34.358677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 36.665001,
        "volume": 1311,
        "typical_volume": 12860.25,
        "trend": 34.16275,
        "fair_value": 28.366867,
        "relative_strength": 1.908106,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.397904,
        "energy": 84.540866,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.397666,
          35.799,
          34.871416,
          34.527521
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 35.834999,
        "volume": 12228,
        "typical_volume": 13360.05,
        "trend": 34.246916,
        "fair_value": 28.448886,
        "relative_strength": 1.359964,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.628277,
        "energy": 76.356384,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.276833,
          35.908636,
          35.016499,
          34.635408
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 35.514999,
        "volume": 24472,
        "typical_volume": 13556.65,
        "trend": 34.310083,
        "fair_value": 28.52754,
        "relative_strength": -0.463835,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.687036,
        "energy": 47.765465,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.008333,
          35.920954,
          35.127571,
          34.71722
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 35.732498,
        "volume": 26964,
        "typical_volume": 14609.75,
        "trend": 34.388333,
        "fair_value": 28.606097,
        "relative_strength": -1.055089,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.870877,
        "energy": 38.411282,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.847999,
          35.942135,
          35.258928,
          34.808989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.195,
        "volume": 11111,
        "typical_volume": 14668.95,
        "trend": 34.471333,
        "fair_value": 28.690841,
        "relative_strength": -0.974511,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.648178,
        "energy": 34.910963,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.918999,
          36.012908,
          35.422368,
          34.925548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.610001,
        "volume": 3339,
        "typical_volume": 14387.85,
        "trend": 34.580583,
        "fair_value": 28.785729,
        "relative_strength": 2.579242,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.519875,
        "energy": 57.301716,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.4595,
          36.314454,
          35.702821,
          35.128043
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}