{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "af0de8ba-e7ba-4804-9351-83f0d6ec5f42",
    "symbol": "TOBII",
    "name": "Tobii AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 69.57,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -25.908,
    "architecture_energy": 50.531,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.963,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.129,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.03,
        "rotation_up": 15.95,
        "upward_expansion": 25.02,
        "deceleration": 51.66,
        "rotation_down": 64.96,
        "downward_expansion": 52.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.670267,
        1.764382,
        2.0247,
        2.018037
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 1.71,
    "trend_reference": 1.981533,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.137032,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.77256,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.546727,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -31.40108,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.163265,
    "excess_performance": 0.101771,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.137032,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021549,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.546727,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048117,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.314011,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.128145,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.163265,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.267435,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3901891,
      "relative_activity": 0.61785,
      "balance": 1.267435,
      "dry_up": 0.839889,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.178543,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.747124,
      "from_high_reference": -0.559278,
      "from_low_reference": 0.315385
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.981533,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.77256,
      "structural_low": 1.452,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.025612,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031823,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.139961,
        "worst_return": -0.063924,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.338137,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.348768,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.185103,
        "worst_return": -0.491171,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.590141,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.682281,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.454545,
        "worst_return": -0.725737,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.829016,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.931899,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.829016,
        "worst_return": -0.829016,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.187558,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.201215,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047847,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.071124,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.229562,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.505105,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.123506,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.217451,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.10587,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.234615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.234528,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.151671,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.072773,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 16.42,
        "volume": 757512,
        "typical_volume": 1007269.55,
        "trend": 20.07,
        "fair_value": 26.455322,
        "relative_strength": -17.544473,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -53.848824,
        "energy": 29.564144,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 6844719.3,
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        "fair_value": 4.095836,
        "relative_strength": -38.527958,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.644596,
        "energy": 52.880969,
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          1.742267,
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          2.082191
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.65,
        "volume": 5584468,
        "typical_volume": 6755184.55,
        "trend": 2.010433,
        "fair_value": 3.9809,
        "relative_strength": -33.996285,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.06443,
        "energy": 55.556046,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.689733,
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          2.102581,
          2.05754
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.679,
        "volume": 5050521,
        "typical_volume": 6670660.7,
        "trend": 1.990867,
        "fair_value": 3.872112,
        "relative_strength": -32.394751,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.215446,
        "energy": 50.776923,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.668133,
          1.827273,
          2.06179,
          2.036157
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.71,
        "volume": 3901891,
        "typical_volume": 6315274.35,
        "trend": 1.981533,
        "fair_value": 3.77256,
        "relative_strength": -31.40108,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.907842,
        "energy": 50.531012,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.670267,
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          2.0247,
          2.018037
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}