{ "ticker": { "uuid": "af1d201d-6a75-4a9c-abef-82bc33c5d4b9", "symbol": "MORE", "name": "More Return Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 80.18, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 35.213, "architecture_energy": 19.581, "architecture_maturity": 40.042, "architecture_confidence": 87.043, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.2, "rotation_up": 30.78, "upward_expansion": 58.35, "deceleration": 87.32, "rotation_down": 22.79, "downward_expansion": 13.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.052, 0.052727, 0.04981, 0.045978 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.05, "trend_reference": 0.041667, "distance_from_trend": 0.2, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.065128, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.232283, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.203286, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.666667, "excess_performance": 0.474342, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.2, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096491, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.232283, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.22652, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.002033, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.119645, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.666667, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.345446, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5607100, "relative_activity": 0.645547, "balance": 7.345446, "dry_up": 0.675702, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.292308, "annualized_volatility": 1.211921, "from_high_reference": -0.166667, "from_low_reference": 0.666667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.041667, "fair_value_reference": 0.065128, "structural_low": 0.03, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.018695, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.099379, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.147222, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.15278, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.094444, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.158333, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.19852, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.083333, "worst_return": -0.4, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.766667, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.773327, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.766667, "worst_return": -0.766667, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-09-01", "end": "2023-09-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2023-09-15", "end": "2023-09-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-10-06", "end": "2023-12-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.444444, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-01-05", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.3, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.571429, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.526419, "energy": 36.802829, "activity_lines": [ 0.053333, 0.052364, 0.046143, 0.042925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.05, "volume": 8341800, "typical_volume": 10396165.0, "trend": 0.040333, "fair_value": 0.0675, "relative_strength": -3.118822, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.481223, "energy": 25.479031, "activity_lines": [ 0.052, 0.052364, 0.046952, 0.04357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.06, "volume": 7662900, "typical_volume": 8915345.0, "trend": 0.041, "fair_value": 0.066795, "relative_strength": 16.252759, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.42649, "energy": 29.135077, "activity_lines": [ 0.054, 0.054, 0.048667, 0.044839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.05, "volume": 1864300, "typical_volume": 8679985.0, "trend": 0.041333, "fair_value": 0.065962, "relative_strength": -1.408408, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.043263, "energy": 21.814863, "activity_lines": [ 0.052667, 0.053455, 0.049286, 0.045419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.05, "volume": 5607100, "typical_volume": 8685815.0, "trend": 0.041667, "fair_value": 0.065128, "relative_strength": -0.203286, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.213372, "energy": 19.58108, "activity_lines": [ 0.052, 0.052727, 0.04981, 0.045978 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }