{ "ticker": { "uuid": "af21da23-dc05-49ac-a128-1d98fc1480aa", "symbol": "JBDI", "name": "JBDI Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 73.601, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -9.877, "architecture_energy": 4.979, "architecture_maturity": 14.611, "architecture_confidence": 60.718, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.68, "rotation_up": 24.68, "upward_expansion": 28.69, "deceleration": 34.81, "rotation_down": 28.66, "downward_expansion": 46.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.240433, 1.229647, 1.190106, 1.215657 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.3013, "trend_reference": 1.266042, "distance_from_trend": 0.027849, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.794456, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.534328, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -36.83071, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.34935, "excess_performance": -0.536804, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.027849, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.134819, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.534328, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060665, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.368307, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121982, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.34935, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.511777, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 114324, "relative_activity": 0.160881, "balance": 0.511777, "dry_up": 0.435598, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.307657, "annualized_volatility": 0.950494, "from_high_reference": -0.783117, "from_low_reference": 0.661517 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.266042, "fair_value_reference": 2.794456, "structural_low": 0.7832, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.021579, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.018161, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.021579, "worst_return": -0.021579, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.069231, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.021579, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 24.74, "volume": 14017520, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 34.76, "volume": 1030969, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": 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220799, "typical_volume": 700537.45, "trend": 1.276712, "fair_value": 2.824432, "relative_strength": -46.252698, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.48016, "energy": 13.304087, "activity_lines": [ 1.177333, 1.181658, 1.169605, 1.21278 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.29, "volume": 702083, "typical_volume": 708465.05, "trend": 1.269999, "fair_value": 2.809239, "relative_strength": -34.933885, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.929659, "energy": 5.921856, "activity_lines": [ 1.213333, 1.208662, 1.179022, 1.213638 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.3013, "volume": 114324, "typical_volume": 710610.65, "trend": 1.266042, "fair_value": 2.794456, "relative_strength": -36.83071, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.87706, "energy": 4.978855, "activity_lines": [ 1.240433, 1.229647, 1.190106, 1.215657 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }