{ "ticker": { "uuid": "af25dd7b-a611-40ea-82a8-75cbb25037c8", "symbol": "688579", "name": "Dareway Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.816, "architecture_energy": 59.678, "architecture_maturity": 84.745, "architecture_confidence": 93.743, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 27.78, "upward_expansion": 11.14, "deceleration": 60.02, "rotation_down": 53.23, "downward_expansion": 84.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.706667, 7.783851, 8.429019, 9.143121 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.0, "trend_reference": 10.102224, "distance_from_trend": -0.208095, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.309835, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.224042, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.947662, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.33665, "excess_performance": -0.293446, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.208095, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096448, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.224042, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.165155, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.249477, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076779, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.33665, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.864562, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23042929, "relative_activity": 1.171608, "balance": 0.864562, "dry_up": 1.136301, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087927, "annualized_volatility": 0.39626, "from_high_reference": -0.423631, "from_low_reference": 0.129944 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.102224, "fair_value_reference": 10.309835, "structural_low": 7.08, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.027091, "positive_rate": 0.392857, "directional_follow_through": 0.607143, "median_excess_return": -0.006568, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.349929, "worst_return": -0.239292, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.065538, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.046389, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.284777, "worst_return": -0.319358, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.093209, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.117563, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.985564, "worst_return": -0.269017, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 7.780947, 8.122008, 8.948925, 9.658541 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.18, "volume": 21604521, "typical_volume": 20935860.9, "trend": 10.293891, "fair_value": 10.390761, "relative_strength": -31.693133, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.054447, "energy": 76.039526, "activity_lines": [ 7.554658, 7.882527, 8.708417, 9.450139 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.73, "volume": 23571322, "typical_volume": 20168651.75, "trend": 10.194891, "fair_value": 10.347101, "relative_strength": -26.112752, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.623356, "energy": 64.559102, "activity_lines": [ 7.591333, 7.788787, 8.545718, 9.284727 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.0, "volume": 23042929, "typical_volume": 19667772.15, "trend": 10.102224, "fair_value": 10.309835, "relative_strength": -24.947662, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.815664, "energy": 59.678217, "activity_lines": [ 7.706667, 7.783851, 8.429019, 9.143121 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }