{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "af27f261-ca38-44c3-becd-142c8ff67a6c",
    "symbol": "UXI",
    "name": "PROSHARES TRUST PSHS ULTRA INDL",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.229,
    "architecture_energy": 40.478,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.671,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.534,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.32,
        "rotation_up": 49.43,
        "upward_expansion": 73.66,
        "deceleration": 67.05,
        "rotation_down": 24.49,
        "downward_expansion": 9.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        61.040573,
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        59.060836,
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 62.8556,
    "trend_reference": 56.375101,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.114953,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 39.677524,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.584161,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.431165,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.103217,
    "excess_performance": -0.022407,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114953,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089146,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.584161,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063866,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084312,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037926,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103217,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.767275,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16951,
      "relative_activity": 0.72905,
      "balance": 2.767275,
      "dry_up": 0.872389,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059243,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.271264,
      "from_high_reference": -0.032246,
      "from_low_reference": 0.51091
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 56.375101,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.677524,
      "structural_low": 46.4158,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.014242,
        "positive_rate": 0.59375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.59375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004571,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.191941,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
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        "worst_return": -0.133079,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": 7.505218,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 4.853532,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 13.007782,
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        "energy": 67.336173,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 9.248402,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 74.38478,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 25799.6,
        "trend": 55.120191,
        "fair_value": 39.011649,
        "relative_strength": 7.404045,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.716911,
        "energy": 64.577531,
        "activity_lines": [
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          56.660833
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 61.01,
        "volume": 13563,
        "typical_volume": 24371.3,
        "trend": 55.568257,
        "fair_value": 39.228964,
        "relative_strength": 10.685985,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.28409,
        "energy": 49.744542,
        "activity_lines": [
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          57.04082
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 59.5417,
        "volume": 18415,
        "typical_volume": 23252.8,
        "trend": 55.958239,
        "fair_value": 39.443535,
        "relative_strength": 6.620334,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.431786,
        "energy": 35.826073,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.33936,
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          58.465515,
          57.297171
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 62.8556,
        "volume": 16951,
        "typical_volume": 23250.8,
        "trend": 56.375101,
        "fair_value": 39.677524,
        "relative_strength": 8.431165,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.2292,
        "energy": 40.478046,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}