{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "af32a43a-af11-4d82-bafe-5ce0737228b5",
    "symbol": "601018",
    "name": "Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -38.634,
    "architecture_energy": 25.574,
    "architecture_maturity": 77.48,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.654,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.95,
        "rotation_up": 28.95,
        "upward_expansion": 21.34,
        "deceleration": 46.98,
        "rotation_down": 24.18,
        "downward_expansion": 57.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.399333,
        3.357455,
        3.419317,
        3.531954
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 3.35,
    "trend_reference": 3.645246,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.080995,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.43726,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.025387,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.949654,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.121316,
    "excess_performance": -0.078112,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.080995,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025422,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025387,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09629,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069497,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016021,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.121316,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.338753,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 304167558,
      "relative_activity": 1.401219,
      "balance": 0.338753,
      "dry_up": 1.415852,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 6
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044817,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.184554,
      "from_high_reference": -0.210195,
      "from_low_reference": 0.063492
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.645246,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.43726,
      "structural_low": 3.15,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
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        "positive_rate": 0.588235,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.411765,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013191,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
        "best_return": 0.078534,
        "worst_return": -0.044855,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.014976,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015602,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.041995,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.049563,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.078141,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.026246,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.07968,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 214543238.55,
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        "fair_value": 3.433997,
        "relative_strength": -2.936461,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -47.231981,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.48,
        "volume": 262026069,
        "typical_volume": 213911431.05,
        "trend": 3.651563,
        "fair_value": 3.436133,
        "relative_strength": -0.910248,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.887219,
        "energy": 27.4962,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.35,
        "volume": 304167558,
        "typical_volume": 217073571.7,
        "trend": 3.645246,
        "fair_value": 3.43726,
        "relative_strength": -6.949654,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.634307,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}