{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "af390019-7f11-4b27-8cde-fea50cb2faa6",
    "symbol": "FCOR",
    "name": "FIDELITY MERRIMACK STREET TRUST CORPORATE BD ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 56.269,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -59.614,
    "architecture_energy": 66.133,
    "architecture_maturity": 4.74,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.628,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.85,
        "rotation_up": 9.49,
        "upward_expansion": 14.85,
        "deceleration": 37.21,
        "rotation_down": 69.36,
        "downward_expansion": 88.19
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 46.49,
    "trend_reference": 46.924335,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.009256,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 44.10869,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.053987,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.630383,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.01544,
    "excess_performance": -0.141065,
    "evidence": [
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        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009256,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001242,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053987,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025194,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.116304,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01604,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01544,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.817421,
        "read": "Supply-led"
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    ],
    "volume": {
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      "balance": 0.817421,
      "dry_up": 1.045364,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
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    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.009363,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.049304,
      "from_high_reference": -0.027015,
      "from_low_reference": 0.019927
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 44.10869,
      "structural_low": 46.044925,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "sample_count": 16,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 9.987841,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "energy": 27.230076,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 43.727712,
        "relative_strength": -9.050064,
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 8.331979,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -8.755338,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 43.947258,
        "relative_strength": -10.371596,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.071491,
        "energy": 18.888957,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 46.612643,
        "volume": 169869,
        "typical_volume": 182003.65,
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        "fair_value": 43.986755,
        "relative_strength": -8.711992,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.925319,
        "energy": 37.996505,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.776494,
          46.858056,
          46.87788,
          46.933888
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.184364,
        "volume": 134046,
        "typical_volume": 169584.2,
        "trend": 46.965706,
        "fair_value": 44.024875,
        "relative_strength": -8.776363,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.030561,
        "energy": 61.631854,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.54772,
          46.735854,
          46.812611,
          46.881447
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 46.2,
        "volume": 314281,
        "typical_volume": 177974.0,
        "trend": 46.942477,
        "fair_value": 44.064908,
        "relative_strength": -9.41493,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.78103,
        "energy": 70.82716,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.384128,
          46.622959,
          46.754156,
          46.832047
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 46.49,
        "volume": 123476,
        "typical_volume": 177371.65,
        "trend": 46.924335,
        "fair_value": 44.10869,
        "relative_strength": -11.630383,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.613987,
        "energy": 66.133361,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.376068,
          46.571314,
          46.725105,
          46.802855
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}