{ "ticker": { "uuid": "af754e3b-2d34-4940-bcf0-ac899693af15", "symbol": "TR4", "name": "Tractor Supply Company", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.391, "architecture_energy": 51.656, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 65.707, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.58, "rotation_up": 27.79, "upward_expansion": 21.67, "deceleration": 67.0, "rotation_down": 41.97, "downward_expansion": 69.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.266667, 27.122273, 28.84985, 31.542499 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 29.205, "trend_reference": 35.28918, "distance_from_trend": -0.172409, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 41.061148, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.288744, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.049945, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.35881, "excess_performance": -0.423449, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.172409, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142271, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.288744, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.186134, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.320499, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184436, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.35881, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.276459, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30, "relative_activity": 0.066313, "balance": 0.276459, "dry_up": 1.125663, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073921, "annualized_volatility": 0.524264, "from_high_reference": -0.419396, "from_low_reference": 0.163314 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.28918, "fair_value_reference": 41.061148, 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"direction": -67.214584, "energy": 68.279788, "activity_lines": [ 27.266667, 28.181298, 31.952572, 34.731892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 26.485001, "volume": 646, "typical_volume": 407.85, "trend": 37.378258, "fair_value": 41.425104, "relative_strength": -37.391486, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.609497, "energy": 70.948519, "activity_lines": [ 27.114667, 27.510618, 31.131005, 33.991583 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.15, "volume": 456, "typical_volume": 419.05, "trend": 36.837623, "fair_value": 41.33466, "relative_strength": -34.719414, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.935464, "energy": 65.528391, "activity_lines": [ 27.141667, 27.16763, 30.453876, 33.331695 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.43, "volume": 318, "typical_volume": 410.6, "trend": 36.27137, "fair_value": 41.23319, "relative_strength": -38.986919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.136278, "energy": 70.643979, "activity_lines": [ 26.581667, 26.706606, 29.688002, 32.595719 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.475, "volume": 1233, "typical_volume": 460.9, "trend": 35.733543, "fair_value": 41.138419, "relative_strength": -37.224363, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.869637, "energy": 63.49477, "activity_lines": [ 26.432667, 26.661546, 29.103751, 31.963696 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.205, "volume": 30, "typical_volume": 452.4, "trend": 35.28918, "fair_value": 41.061148, "relative_strength": -32.049945, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.391068, "energy": 51.656198, "activity_lines": [ 27.266667, 27.122273, 28.84985, 31.542499 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }