{ "ticker": { "uuid": "af809b0f-72bf-4757-92c2-1e05e1d3e059", "symbol": "DPAM", "name": "Les Docks des P\u00e9troles d'Amb\u00e8s -SA", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.127, "architecture_energy": 24.629, "architecture_maturity": 13.867, "architecture_confidence": 72.15, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.16, "rotation_up": 21.24, "upward_expansion": 17.46, "deceleration": 52.82, "rotation_down": 47.33, "downward_expansion": 62.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 858.0, 863.122314, 856.653246, 867.608796 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 855.0, "trend_reference": 879.203029, "distance_from_trend": -0.027528, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 662.090371, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.291364, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.739919, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.044693, "excess_performance": -0.098004, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.027528, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022604, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.291364, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008411, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.117399, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004526, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.044693, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.932836, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8, "relative_activity": 0.178571, "balance": 0.932836, "dry_up": 0.920759, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030467, "annualized_volatility": 0.215337, "from_high_reference": -0.185714, "from_low_reference": 0.08955 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 879.203029, "fair_value_reference": 662.090371, "structural_low": 784.727295, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.010805, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.050279, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.049327, "worst_return": -0.105376, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.004255, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.054728, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.045455, "worst_return": -0.053763, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.095455, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.018376, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.160338, "worst_return": -0.004237, "sufficient": false }, { 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.102564, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.103704, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.355443, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.016304, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.028249, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-30", 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874.725707 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 855.0, "volume": 39, "typical_volume": 42.75, "trend": 884.536363, "fair_value": 653.682603, "relative_strength": -8.801192, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.557249, "energy": 14.304426, "activity_lines": [ 869.545455, 862.454545, 860.716449, 872.658845 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 855.0, "volume": 79, "typical_volume": 45.75, "trend": 882.869696, "fair_value": 656.45955, "relative_strength": -8.987127, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.502621, "energy": 13.463576, "activity_lines": [ 863.333333, 863.195042, 858.806492, 870.753273 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 860.0, "volume": 39, "typical_volume": 45.8, "trend": 880.869696, "fair_value": 659.302205, "relative_strength": -9.547652, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.049544, "energy": 17.356331, "activity_lines": [ 861.666667, 864.082645, 857.777488, 869.277809 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 855.0, "volume": 8, "typical_volume": 44.8, "trend": 879.203029, "fair_value": 662.090371, "relative_strength": -11.739919, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.126527, "energy": 24.629054, "activity_lines": [ 858.0, 863.122314, 856.653246, 867.608796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }