{ "ticker": { "uuid": "af8ed274-6075-45bc-abb3-a19de5b8f76c", "symbol": "TFCILTD", "name": "Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 97.307, "architecture_energy": 98.63, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.494, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.19, "rotation_up": 88.32, "upward_expansion": 97.67, "deceleration": 41.83, "rotation_down": 8.02, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 100.110667, 90.771091, 83.547524, 79.475333 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 117.480003, "trend_reference": 74.849667, "distance_from_trend": 0.569546, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.268839, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.539074, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 64.468062, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.745876, "excess_performance": 0.789585, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.569546, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094768, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.539074, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.485864, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.644681, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.288312, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.745876, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.59553, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 86246776, "relative_activity": 2.736092, "balance": 2.59553, "dry_up": 2.701733, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060521, "annualized_volatility": 0.48322, "from_high_reference": -0.004407, "from_low_reference": 1.303529 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 74.849667, "fair_value_reference": 46.268839, "structural_low": 61.349998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.038754, "positive_rate": 0.62963, "directional_follow_through": 0.62963, "median_excess_return": 0.013228, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.563273, "worst_return": -0.220127, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.029568, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.019186, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.711349, "worst_return": -0.223647, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.044642, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.069949, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.094484, "worst_return": -0.195418, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 100.110667, 90.771091, 83.547524, 79.475333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }