{ "ticker": { "uuid": "af9815b2-a850-478c-9cfa-23fa19c3dfd0", "symbol": "300233", "name": "Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.249, "architecture_energy": 27.333, "architecture_maturity": 46.554, "architecture_confidence": 65.481, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.95, "rotation_up": 24.18, "upward_expansion": 14.74, "deceleration": 64.9, "rotation_down": 35.71, "downward_expansion": 62.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.022, 12.910182, 13.392783, 13.7889 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 13.61, "trend_reference": 14.264403, "distance_from_trend": -0.045877, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.197843, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.104478, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.825143, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.105884, "excess_performance": -0.113284, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.045877, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064745, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 11.84, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.00597, "positive_rate": 0.483871, "directional_follow_through": 0.516129, "median_excess_return": -0.013851, "regime_survival": 0.83871, "best_return": 0.295703, "worst_return": -0.269089, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.021847, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.002165, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.306278, "worst_return": -0.20452, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.096808, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.101055, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.218103, "worst_return": -0.291953, 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"down", "direction": -60.650336, "energy": 47.339896, "activity_lines": [ 12.892, 13.072612, 13.844813, 14.161573 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.94, "volume": 102521429, "typical_volume": 44998783.9, "trend": 14.386978, "fair_value": 15.293844, "relative_strength": -19.433575, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.138223, "energy": 37.039266, "activity_lines": [ 12.956, 12.954545, 13.717592, 14.064676 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.21, "volume": 64737771, "typical_volume": 45707191.2, "trend": 14.314977, "fair_value": 15.25825, "relative_strength": -23.309409, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.087263, "energy": 41.339578, "activity_lines": [ 12.747333, 12.760364, 13.531289, 13.924226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.88, "volume": 42109975, "typical_volume": 46159526.75, "trend": 14.272571, "fair_value": 15.227315, "relative_strength": -17.07559, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.674507, "energy": 32.932221, "activity_lines": [ 12.792, 12.755091, 13.422052, 13.831646 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.61, "volume": 51063957, "typical_volume": 47385191.4, "trend": 14.264403, "fair_value": 15.197843, "relative_strength": -15.825143, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.249282, "energy": 27.332802, "activity_lines": [ 13.022, 12.910182, 13.392783, 13.7889 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }